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Dinamo Vladivostok v Dinamo Kirov
Dinamo Vladivostok
Dinamo KirovSecond League A - Division A Gold · SUN 18 OCT · Stadion Dinamo
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Dinamo Vladivostok win at 37%.
- 1′Little has changed for our model: Dinamo Vladivostok 37% before kick-off, 37% now. 0–0 · 37–34–29
- 1′KICK-OFF Dinamo Vladivostok v Dinamo Kirov
- 24′🟨 YELLOW · 23' Dinamo Kirov
- 24′THE CALL SWINGS · 24' Draw is now our likeliest result at 39% (was Dinamo Vladivostok win 34%)
- 39′A goal for Dinamo Kirov on 38′ — 0–1. 0–1 · 8–22–69
- 39′⚽ GOAL · 38' Dinamo Vladivostok 0–1 Dinamo Kirov
- 39′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 39' Dinamo Vladivostok win: 37% at kick-off, 8% now
- 39′THE CALL SWINGS · 39' Dinamo Kirov win is now our likeliest result at 69% (was Draw 22%)
- 40′We said Dinamo Vladivostok at 37%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 8%. 0–1 · 8–22–70
- 40′The goal count is tracking the 2.0 we expected. 0–1 · 8–22–70
- 44′E. Ignatovich scores for Dinamo Kirov on 39′ — 0–1. 0–1 · 7–22–71
- 44′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 44' Dinamo Vladivostok win: 37% at kick-off, 7% now
- 45′HALF-TIME Dinamo Vladivostok 0–1 Dinamo Kirov
- 46′SECOND HALF Dinamo Vladivostok 0–1 Dinamo Kirov
- 58′We said Dinamo Vladivostok at 37%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 4%. 0–1 · 4–20–76
- 59′🟨 YELLOW · 59' Dinamo Kirov
- 70′🟨 YELLOW · 70' Dinamo Kirov
- 72′🟨 YELLOW · 49' A. Malykh · Dinamo Kirov
- 74′🟨 YELLOW · 59' A. Stepanov · Dinamo Kirov
- 78′SUBSTITUTION · 65' Dinamo Vladivostok · On: D. Rashchupkin · Off: N. Kasatkin
- 78′SUBSTITUTION · 65' Dinamo Vladivostok · On: D. Kvekveskiri · Off: N. Sukhanov
- 82′Dinamo Vladivostok score on 82′ to make it 1–1. 1–1 · 8–84–7
- 82′⚽ GOAL · 82' Dinamo Vladivostok 1–1 Dinamo Kirov
- 82′THE CALL SWINGS · 82' Draw is now our likeliest result at 84% (was Dinamo Kirov win 7%)
- 84′Dinamo Vladivostok find the net on 84′. 2–1. 2–1 · 94–5–0
- 84′M. Martinkevich scores for Dinamo Kirov on 80′ — 2–2. 2–2 · 7–88–6
- 84′SUBSTITUTION · 72' Dinamo Kirov · On: I. Gorjainov · Off: A. Burkov
- 84′⚽ GOAL · 84' Dinamo Vladivostok 2–1 Dinamo Kirov
- 84′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 84' Dinamo Vladivostok win: 37% at kick-off, 94% now
- 84′THE CALL SWINGS · 84' Dinamo Vladivostok win is now our likeliest result at 94% (was Draw 5%)
- 85′We said Dinamo Vladivostok at 37% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 95%. 2–1 · 95–5–0 Our live view briefly showed an older score here.
- 85′SUBSTITUTION · 72' Dinamo Kirov · On: I. Dibirov · Off: M. Lauk
- 85′🟨 YELLOW · 85' Dinamo Vladivostok
- 86′3 goals already, more than the 2.0 we expected for the whole match. 2–1 · 95–5–0 Our live view briefly showed an older score here.
- 86′🟨 YELLOW · 86' Dinamo Vladivostok
- 88′SUBSTITUTION · 83' Dinamo Kirov · On: M. Ageev · Off: B. Bilalov
- 89′Dinamo Kirov score on 89′ to make it 2–3. 2–3 · 0–4–96
- 89′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 89' Dinamo Vladivostok win: 37% at kick-off, 97% now
- 89′⚽ GOAL · 89' Dinamo Vladivostok 2–3 Dinamo Kirov
- 89′THE CALL SWINGS · 89' Dinamo Kirov win is now our likeliest result at 96% (was Draw 4%)
- 90′5 goals already, more than the 2.0 we expected for the whole match. 2–3 · 0–3–97
- 91′A goal for Dinamo Kirov on 90′ — 2–2. 2–2 · 3–95–2 Our live view briefly showed an older score here.
- 91′That is 4, and we only asked for 2.0 across ninety minutes. 2–2 · 3–95–2 Our live view briefly showed an older score here.
- 91′⚽ GOAL · 90+1' Dinamo Vladivostok 2–2 Dinamo Kirov
- 91′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 90+1' Dinamo Vladivostok win: 37% at kick-off, 3% now
- 91′THE CALL SWINGS · 90+1' Draw is now our likeliest result at 95% (was Dinamo Vladivostok win 3%)
- 92′90′: V. Solodarenko on the scoresheet for Dinamo Kirov, making it 2–3. 2–3 · 0–2–98
- FTFULL TIME Dinamo Vladivostok 2–3 Dinamo Kirov
- FTDinamo Vladivostok 2–3 Dinamo Kirov · Dinamo Vladivostok win: wrong · Under 2.5: wrong · Not both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 0–0 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle; a marked row was checked against the match’s final record afterwards.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
Close to call, with Dinamo Vladivostok just ahead.
The Pitchside prediction: Dinamo Vladivostok 37%, draw 34%, Dinamo Kirov 29%. Over 2.5 goals 33%, both teams to score 41%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off
Dinamo Vladivostok win37%
Dinamo Kirov win29%Kick-offSUN 18 OCT · 05:00
RoundFall season Gold · matchday 14
VenueStadion Dinamo
Match timeline
All events
Dinamo VladivostokMIN
Dinamo KirovEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Dinamo Vladivostok
Dinamo Kirov
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Dinamo Vladivostok
Dinamo Kirov
Last match: 11 Oct · Second League A - Division A Gold
Last match: 14 Oct · the Russian Cup
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Dinamo Vladivostok
Formation not confirmed
5 N. Sergeev
6 A. Amelin
8 N. Sukhanov
9 E. Pesikov
10 N. Kasatkin
13 V. Pochivalin
16 A. Kulagin
19 M. Mashnev
36 A. Voropaev
47 T. Nikolaev
91 S. Gribov
Coach · –
Substitutes
4 · E. Steshin
7 · D. Rashchupkin
11 · D. Kvekveskiri
23 · M. Pechenkin
24 · T. Koshkarov
27 · S. Alekseev
28 · A. Semenov
44 · A. Yapryntsev
45 · A. Brovkin
79 · D. Antsiperov
98 · I. Polishchuk
Dinamo Kirov
Formation not confirmed
1 V. Zadiraka
6 M. Martinkevich
9 B. Bilalov
10 M. Lauk
12 A. Malykh
19 A. Stepanov
29 E. Ignatovich
47 V. Solodarenko
73 S. Kalinov
91 A. Filippov
99 A. Burkov
Coach · –
Substitutes
3 · E. Kolobov
5 · I. Gorjainov
7 · I. Dibirov
8 · N. Kamaev
13 · M. Ageev
16 · A. Savin
17 · T. Bulatsev
24 · T. Sitnikov
27 · A. Chizh
98 · E. Pozdnyakov
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Dinamo Vladivostok
Formation not confirmed
5 N. Sergeev
6 A. Amelin
8 N. Sukhanov
9 E. Pesikov
10 N. Kasatkin
13 V. Pochivalin
16 A. Kulagin
19 M. Mashnev
36 A. Voropaev
47 T. Nikolaev
91 S. Gribov
Coach · –
Substitutes
4 · E. Steshin
7 · D. Rashchupkin
11 · D. Kvekveskiri
23 · M. Pechenkin
24 · T. Koshkarov
27 · S. Alekseev
28 · A. Semenov
44 · A. Yapryntsev
45 · A. Brovkin
79 · D. Antsiperov
98 · I. Polishchuk
Dinamo Kirov
Formation not confirmed
1 V. Zadiraka
6 M. Martinkevich
9 B. Bilalov
10 M. Lauk
12 A. Malykh
19 A. Stepanov
29 E. Ignatovich
47 V. Solodarenko
73 S. Kalinov
91 A. Filippov
99 A. Burkov
Coach · –
Substitutes
3 · E. Kolobov
5 · I. Gorjainov
7 · I. Dibirov
8 · N. Kamaev
13 · M. Ageev
16 · A. Savin
17 · T. Bulatsev
24 · T. Sitnikov
27 · A. Chizh
98 · E. Pozdnyakov
We make Dinamo Vladivostok a 37% chance to win. The market has them at 32%. We are 5 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.1–0.9.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 32% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dinamo Vladivostok win | 37% | 32% | +5 |
| Draw | 34% | 27% | +7 |
| Dinamo Kirov win | 29% | 40% | −11 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 33% | 42% | −9 |
| Both teams to score | 41% | 48% | −7 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 61% | 67% | −6 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 15% | 21% | −6 |
| Dinamo Vladivostok or draw | 71% | 60% | +11 |
| Dinamo Vladivostok clean sheet | 40% | – | – |
| Dinamo Kirov clean sheet | 34% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 2 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
5 meetings since 2023/24Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in Second League A - Division A Gold this season · since 5 Sept
DINAMO VLADIVOSTOK
DINAMO KIROV
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rodina Moskva II | 13 | +14 | 29 |
| 2 | Dinamo Kirov | 13 | +4 | 24 |
| 3 | Novosibirsk | 13 | +3 | 19 |
| 4 | Alaniya Vladikavkaz | 13 | +5 | 18 |
| 5 | Dinamo Vladivostok | 13 | +2 | 17 |
| 6 | Dinamo Bryansk | 13 | −5 | 16 |
| 7 | Mashuk-KMV | 13 | 0 | 15 |
| 8 | Volgar Astrakhan | 13 | −1 | 13 |
| 9 | FK Sokol Saratov | 13 | −12 | 9 |
| 10 | Kaluga | 13 | −10 | 7 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.
Rodina Moskva II
Novosibirsk
Alaniya Vladikavkaz
Dinamo Bryansk
Mashuk-KMV
Volgar Astrakhan
FK Sokol Saratov
Kaluga