Dinamo Bryansk v Kaluga

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Dinamo Bryansk win at 43%.
2. 1′Much as we predicted: Dinamo Bryansk was 43% before kick-off and our model makes it 43% now. 0–0 · 43–32–25
3. 1′KICK-OFF Dinamo Bryansk v Kaluga
4. 17′Dinamo Bryansk find the net on 16′. 1–0. 1–0 · 76–17–8
5. 17′We published Dinamo Bryansk at 43%. Our model now makes it 76%. 1–0 · 76–17–8
6. 17′⚽ GOAL · 16' Dinamo Bryansk 1–0 Kaluga
7. 17′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 17' Dinamo Bryansk win: 43% at kick-off, 76% now
8. 30′Goals are coming at about the 2.2 we expected. 1–0 · 77–17–6
9. 43′A goal for Kaluga on 42′ — 1–1. 1–1 · 34–44–22
10. 43′⚽ GOAL · 42' Dinamo Bryansk 1–1 Kaluga
11. 43′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 43' Dinamo Bryansk win: 43% at kick-off, 34% now
12. 43′THE CALL SWINGS · 43' Draw is now our likeliest result at 44% (was Dinamo Bryansk win 34%)
13. 45′HALF-TIME Dinamo Bryansk 1–1 Kaluga
14. 46′🟨 YELLOW · 45' Dinamo Bryansk
15. 46′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 45+1' Dinamo Bryansk win: 43% at kick-off, 33% now
16. 46′SECOND HALF Dinamo Bryansk 1–1 Kaluga
17. 47′Kaluga score on 47′ to make it 1–2. 1–2 · 9–24–67
18. 47′⚽ GOAL · 47' Dinamo Bryansk 1–2 Kaluga
19. 47′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 47' Dinamo Bryansk win: 43% at kick-off, 9% now
20. 47′THE CALL SWINGS · 47' Kaluga win is now our likeliest result at 67% (was Draw 24%)
21. 48′We said Dinamo Bryansk at 43%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 1–2 · 9–24–67
22. 48′That is 3, and we only asked for 2.2 across ninety minutes. 1–2 · 9–24–67
23. 48′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Dinamo Bryansk · On: V. Drogunov · Off: I. Maklakov
24. 56′SUBSTITUTION · 52' Dinamo Bryansk · On: A. Novikov · Off: I. Solovyov
25. 56′SUBSTITUTION · 52' Dinamo Bryansk · On: B. Tsybrov · Off: S. Topinka
26. 64′We said Dinamo Bryansk at 43%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 1–2 · 4–20–75
27. 68′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 68' Dinamo Bryansk win: 43% at kick-off, 3% now
28. 69′SUBSTITUTION · 65' Dinamo Bryansk · On: M. Khalilov · Off: K. Volovich
29. 74′SUBSTITUTION · 72' Kaluga · On: I. Sokolov · Off: A. Nadolsky
30. 74′SUBSTITUTION · 72' Kaluga · On: N. Pervakov · Off: Y. Sychev
31. 77′🟨 YELLOW · 77' Kaluga
32. 82′Kaluga find the net on 82′. 1–3. 1–3 · 0–1–99
33. 82′4 goals already, more than the 2.2 we expected for the whole match. 1–3 · 0–1–99
34. 82′⚽ GOAL · 82' Dinamo Bryansk 1–3 Kaluga
35. 84′SUBSTITUTION · 80' Kaluga · On: S. Krotov · Off: G. Bakharev
36. 90′A goal for Kaluga on 90′ — 1–4. 1–4 · 0–0–100
37. 90′That is 5, and we only asked for 2.2 across ninety minutes. 1–4 · 0–0–100
38. 90′⚽ GOAL · 90' Dinamo Bryansk 1–4 Kaluga
39. 93′SUBSTITUTION · 90+1' Kaluga · On: L. Ivanushkin · Off: D. Shevchenko
40. 93′SUBSTITUTION · 90+1' Kaluga · On: D. Sherstobitov · Off: N. Y. Kuzin
41. FTFULL TIME Dinamo Bryansk 1–4 Kaluga
42. FTDinamo Bryansk 1–4 Kaluga · Dinamo Bryansk win: wrong · Under 2.5: wrong · Not both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.