Lokomotiv v FC Krasnodar

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said FC Krasnodar win at 41%.
2. 1′Little has changed for our model: FC Krasnodar 41% before kick-off, 41% now. 0–0 · 32–27–41
3. 1′KICK-OFF Lokomotiv v FC Krasnodar
4. 2′🟨 YELLOW · 2' Lokomotiv
5. 5′Joao Batxi scores for FC Krasnodar on 5′. 0–0 · 32–27–41
6. 7′We said FC Krasnodar at 41% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 68%. 0–1 · 14–18–68
7. 7′⚽ GOAL · 5' Lokomotiv 0–1 FC Krasnodar · Joao Batxi (assist Jhon Cordoba)
8. 7′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 7' FC Krasnodar win: 41% at kick-off, 68% now
9. 14′🟨 YELLOW · 12' Gerzino Nyamsi · Lokomotiv
10. 18′⚽ GOAL · 18' Lokomotiv 1–1 FC Krasnodar
11. 18′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 18' FC Krasnodar win: 41% at kick-off, 39% now
12. 19′16′: Nikolay Titkov on the scoresheet for Lokomotiv, making it 1–1. 1–1 · 31–30–39
13. 45′HALF-TIME Lokomotiv 1–1 FC Krasnodar
14. 46′THE CALL SWINGS · 45+1' Draw is now our likeliest result at 39% (was FC Krasnodar win 34%)
15. 46′SECOND HALF Lokomotiv 1–1 FC Krasnodar
16. 51′The goal count is tracking the 2.8 we expected. 1–1 · 26–42–32
17. 53′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 53' FC Krasnodar win: 41% at kick-off, 31% now
18. 58′We said FC Krasnodar at 41%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 29%. 1–1 · 24–46–29
19. 59′SUBSTITUTION · 58' Lokomotiv · On: Aleksandr Rudenko · Off: Sergey Pinyaev
20. 66′SUBSTITUTION · 61' FC Krasnodar · On: Magomed Ozdoev · Off: Daniil Utkin
21. 67′We said FC Krasnodar at 41%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 24%. 1–1 · 21–55–24
22. 72′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 72' FC Krasnodar win: 41% at kick-off, 21% now
23. 72′SUBSTITUTION · 70' Lokomotiv · On: Aleksandr Kovalenko · Off: Zelimkhan Bakaev
24. 72′SUBSTITUTION · 70' Lokomotiv · On: Ilya Eremeev · Off: Nikolay Titkov
25. 73′Lokomotiv ahead on 71′ through Aleksandr Rudenko. 2–1. 2–1 · 80–17–3
26. 73′We said FC Krasnodar at 41%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 3%. 2–1 · 80–17–3
27. 73′⚽ GOAL · 71' Lokomotiv 2–1 FC Krasnodar · Aleksandr Rudenko
28. 73′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 73' FC Krasnodar win: 41% at kick-off, 3% now
29. 73′THE CALL SWINGS · 73' Lokomotiv win is now our likeliest result at 80% (was Draw 17%)
30. 74′3 goals already, more than the 2.8 we expected for the whole match. 2–1 · 81–17–3
31. 75′SUBSTITUTION · 73' FC Krasnodar · On: Valentin Paltsev · Off: Ilya Vakhania
32. 75′SUBSTITUTION · 73' FC Krasnodar · On: Juan Manuel Boselli · Off: Christian
33. 79′Aleksandr Kovalenko scores for Lokomotiv on 78′ — 3–1. 3–1 · 99–1–0
34. 79′That is 4, and we only asked for 2.8 across ninety minutes. 3–1 · 99–1–0
35. 79′🟨 YELLOW · 77' Maksim Nenakhov · Lokomotiv
36. 79′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 79' FC Krasnodar win: 41% at kick-off, 1% now
37. 79′SUBSTITUTION · 78' FC Krasnodar · On: Dmitriy Vorobyov · Off: Kevin Pina
38. 79′⚽ GOAL · 78' Lokomotiv 3–1 FC Krasnodar · Aleksandr Kovalenko
39. 87′5 goals already, more than the 2.8 we expected for the whole match. 3–2 · 93–7–0
40. 87′⚽ GOAL · 87' Lokomotiv 3–2 FC Krasnodar
41. 89′86′: Lucas Olaza on the scoresheet for FC Krasnodar, making it 3–2. 3–2 · 95–5–0
42. 90′SUBSTITUTION · 88' Lokomotiv · On: Danila Godyaev · Off: Andrey Mostovoy
43. 93′FC Krasnodar level it on 90′ through Jhon Cordoba. 3–3. 3–3 · 2–95–2
44. 93′That is 6, and we only asked for 2.8 across ninety minutes. 3–3 · 2–95–2
45. 93′⚽ GOAL · 90+1' Lokomotiv 3–3 FC Krasnodar · Jhon Cordoba
46. 93′THE CALL SWINGS · 90+3' Draw is now our likeliest result at 95% (was Lokomotiv win 2%)
47. 97′🟨 YELLOW · 90+4' Joao Batxi · FC Krasnodar
48. FTFULL TIME Lokomotiv 3–3 FC Krasnodar
49. FTLokomotiv 3–3 FC Krasnodar · FC Krasnodar win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.