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Torpedo Moskva v Rotor Volgograd
Torpedo Moskva
Rotor VolgogradFirst League · FRI 23 OCT · Arena Khimki
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Torpedo Moskva win at 43%.
- 1′Much as we predicted: Torpedo Moskva was 43% before kick-off and our model makes it 43% now. 0–0 · 43–30–27
- 1′KICK-OFF Torpedo Moskva v Rotor Volgograd
- 3′A goal for Torpedo Moskva on 1′ — 1–0. 1–0 · 73–18–10
- 3′⚽ GOAL · 1' Torpedo Moskva 1–0 Rotor Volgograd
- 3′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 3' Torpedo Moskva win: 43% at kick-off, 73% now
- 4′A goal for Torpedo Moskva on 2′ — 1–0. 1–0 · 73–18–10
- 4′We published Torpedo Moskva at 43%. Our model now makes it 73%. 1–0 · 73–18–10
- 28′🟨 YELLOW · 25' Rotor Volgograd
- 29′We published Torpedo Moskva at 43%. Our model now makes it 75%. 1–0 · 75–18–7
- 30′Goals are coming at about the 2.2 we expected. 1–0 · 75–18–7
- 44′🟨 YELLOW · 44' Rotor Volgograd
- 45′HALF-TIME Torpedo Moskva 1–0 Rotor Volgograd
- 46′SECOND HALF Torpedo Moskva 1–0 Rotor Volgograd
- 56′We published Torpedo Moskva at 43%. Our model now makes it 80%. 1–0 · 80–17–3
- 64′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 64' Torpedo Moskva win: 43% at kick-off, 83% now
- 64′SUBSTITUTION · 61' Rotor Volgograd · On: Said Aliev · Off: Aleksandr Khubulov
- 64′SUBSTITUTION · 61' Rotor Volgograd · On: Aleksandr Khokhlachev · Off: Abu-Said Eldarushev
- 67′SUBSTITUTION · 62' Torpedo Moskva · On: Bojan Roganovic · Off: Ruslan Apekov
- 67′SUBSTITUTION · 62' Torpedo Moskva · On: Vladimir Moskvichev · Off: Artem Pogosov
- 67′SUBSTITUTION · 62' Torpedo Moskva · On: Aleksey Kashtanov · Off: Jonathan Okoronkwo
- 69′We published Torpedo Moskva at 43%. Our model now makes it 85%. 1–0 · 85–14–2
- 70′We said Torpedo Moskva at 43%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 20%. 1–1 · 20–65–15
- 70′Rotor Volgograd score on 70′ to make it 1–1. 1–1 · 20–65–15
- 70′⚽ GOAL · 70' Torpedo Moskva 1–1 Rotor Volgograd
- 70′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 70' Torpedo Moskva win: 43% at kick-off, 20% now
- 70′THE CALL SWINGS · 70' Draw is now our likeliest result at 65% (was Torpedo Moskva win 85%)
- 72′We said Torpedo Moskva at 43%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 19%. 1–1 · 19–67–14
- 77′SUBSTITUTION · 71' Rotor Volgograd · On: Georgiy Yudintsev · Off: Irakliy Manelov
- 77′SUBSTITUTION · 71' Rotor Volgograd · On: Nikolay Poyarkov · Off: Ilya Rodionov
- 78′We said Torpedo Moskva at 43%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 14%. 1–1 · 14–76–10
- 79′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 79' Torpedo Moskva win: 43% at kick-off, 13% now
- 80′SUBSTITUTION · 77' Torpedo Moskva · On: Aleksandr Yushin · Off: Ilya Berkovskiy
- 83′We said Torpedo Moskva at 43%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 1–1 · 9–85–7
- 90′We said Torpedo Moskva at 43%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 1–1 · 4–93–3
- 91′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 90+1' Torpedo Moskva win: 43% at kick-off, 3% now
- 91′SUBSTITUTION · 88' Torpedo Moskva · On: Usman ajibona · Off: Stepan Oganesyan
- FTFULL TIME Torpedo Moskva 1–1 Rotor Volgograd
- FTTorpedo Moskva 1–1 Rotor Volgograd · Torpedo Moskva win: wrong · Under 2.5: right · Not both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: right
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
Torpedo Moskva are narrow favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Torpedo Moskva 43%, draw 30%, Rotor Volgograd 28%. Over 2.5 goals 38%, both teams to score 44%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off
Torpedo Moskva win43%
Rotor Volgograd win28%Kick-offFRI 23 OCT · 16:00
RoundMatchday 15
VenueArena Khimki
Match timeline
All events
Torpedo MoskvaMIN
Rotor VolgogradEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Torpedo Moskva
4-4-2
Rotor Volgograd
5-3-2
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Torpedo Moskva
Rotor Volgograd
Last match: 17 Oct · the Russian First League
Last match: 16 Oct · the Russian First League
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Torpedo Moskva
4-4-2
25 R. Soldatenko
99 G. Shevchenko
2 N. Bozov
4 S. Borodin
17 I. Berkovskiy
11 R. Apekov
97 M. Ćurić
24 A. Pogosov
9 S. Oganesyan
20 J. Okoronkwo
10 D. Tsypchenko
Coach · A. Storozhuk
Substitutes
8 · U. Ajibona
7 · A. Yushin
90 · B. Roganović
84 · V. Churilov
21 · A. Galoyan
3 · A. Ivankov
79 · A. Kashtanov
58 · D. Ladokha
48 · S. Mokrousov
5 · V. Moskvichev
27 · A. Orekhov
22 · Konstantin Parkhomenko
Rotor Volgograd
5-3-2
13 N. Chagrov
2 I. Manelov
15 E. Danilkin
25 Emmersón
24 A. Kleshchenko
29 A. Khityaev
10 A. Simonyan
5 A. Troshechkin
18 I. Rodionov
28 A. Khubulov
11 A. Eldarushev
Coach · Dmitriy Parfenov
Substitutes
1 · V. Sugrobov
12 · A. Revazov
16 · N. Poyarkov
20 · I. Litvenok
7 · A. Khokhlachev
8 · T. Ayupov
9 · S. Aliev
4 · G. Yudintsev
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Torpedo Moskva
4-4-2
25 R. Soldatenko
99 G. Shevchenko
2 N. Bozov
4 S. Borodin
17 I. Berkovskiy
11 R. Apekov
97 M. Ćurić
24 A. Pogosov
9 S. Oganesyan
20 J. Okoronkwo
10 D. Tsypchenko
Coach · A. Storozhuk
Substitutes
8 · U. Ajibona
7 · A. Yushin
90 · B. Roganović
84 · V. Churilov
21 · A. Galoyan
3 · A. Ivankov
79 · A. Kashtanov
58 · D. Ladokha
48 · S. Mokrousov
5 · V. Moskvichev
27 · A. Orekhov
22 · Konstantin Parkhomenko
Rotor Volgograd
5-3-2
13 N. Chagrov
2 I. Manelov
15 E. Danilkin
25 Emmersón
24 A. Kleshchenko
29 A. Khityaev
10 A. Simonyan
5 A. Troshechkin
18 I. Rodionov
28 A. Khubulov
11 A. Eldarushev
Coach · Dmitriy Parfenov
Substitutes
1 · V. Sugrobov
12 · A. Revazov
16 · N. Poyarkov
20 · I. Litvenok
7 · A. Khokhlachev
8 · T. Ayupov
9 · S. Aliev
4 · G. Yudintsev
We make Torpedo Moskva a 43% chance to win. The market has them at 44%. We are within 1 point of the market. The model expects 1.3–1.0.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 44% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Torpedo Moskva win | 43% | 44% | −1 |
| Draw | 30% | 29% | +1 |
| Rotor Volgograd win | 28% | 27% | +1 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 38% | 43% | −5 |
| Both teams to score | 44% | 49% | −5 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 65% | 68% | −3 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 19% | 23% | −4 |
| Torpedo Moskva or draw | 72% | 73% | −1 |
| Torpedo Moskva clean sheet | 39% | – | – |
| Rotor Volgograd clean sheet | 29% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 4 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
6 meetings since 2021/22Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in First League this season · since 31 Aug
TORPEDO MOSKVA
ROTOR VOLGOGRAD
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nizhny Novgorod | 14 | +28 | 37 |
| 2 | FC Sochi | 14 | +9 | 29 |
| 3 | Torpedo Moskva | 14 | +15 | 27 |
| 4 | Spartak Kostroma | 14 | +7 | 27 |
| 5 | Veles | 15 | +2 | 27 |
| 6 | Ural | 14 | +12 | 25 |
| 7 | FC UFA | 14 | +4 | 21 |
| 8 | Shinnik Yaroslavl | 14 | +4 | 20 |
| 9 | Rotor Volgograd | 14 | +5 | 18 |
| 10 | Volga Ulyanovsk | 15 | −2 | 18 |
| 11 | Arsenal Tula | 14 | −11 | 16 |
| 12 | Chelyabinsk | 14 | −5 | 15 |
| 13 | Enisey | 14 | −11 | 14 |
| 14 | KAMAZ | 14 | −7 | 13 |
| 15 | Leningradets | 14 | −14 | 13 |
| 16 | FK Neftekhimik | 14 | −11 | 12 |
| 17 | Tekstilshchik | 14 | −12 | 10 |
| 18 | Ska-khabarovsk | 14 | −13 | 7 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.
Nizhny Novgorod
FC Sochi
Spartak Kostroma
Veles
Ural
FC UFA
Shinnik Yaroslavl
Volga Ulyanovsk
Arsenal Tula
Chelyabinsk
Enisey
KAMAZ
Leningradets
FK Neftekhimik
Tekstilshchik
Ska-khabarovsk