Tekstilshchik v FC Sochi

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said FC Sochi win at 55%.
2. 4′Little has changed for our model: FC Sochi 55% before kick-off, 54% now. 0–0 · 20–25–54
3. 4′KICK-OFF Tekstilshchik v FC Sochi
4. 10′A goal for Tekstilshchik on 8′. 0–0 · 20–27–53
5. 12′We said FC Sochi at 55%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 28%. 1–0 · 47–25–28
6. 12′⚽ GOAL · 8' Tekstilshchik 1–0 FC Sochi
7. 12′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 12' FC Sochi win: 55% at kick-off, 28% now
8. 12′THE CALL SWINGS · 12' Tekstilshchik win is now our likeliest result at 47% (was FC Sochi win 53%)
9. 15′⚽ GOAL · 15' Tekstilshchik 1–1 FC Sochi
10. 15′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 15' FC Sochi win: 55% at kick-off, 52% now
11. 15′THE CALL SWINGS · 15' FC Sochi win is now our likeliest result at 52% (was Tekstilshchik win 48%)
12. 38′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 38' FC Sochi win: 55% at kick-off, 45% now
13. 43′A goal for FC Sochi on 12′ — 1–1. 1–1 · 19–37–44
14. 43′🟨 YELLOW · 41' Tekstilshchik
15. 44′We said FC Sochi at 55%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 43%. 1–1 · 19–38–43
16. 45′HALF-TIME Tekstilshchik 1–1 FC Sochi
17. 47′SECOND HALF Tekstilshchik 1–1 FC Sochi
18. 54′We said FC Sochi at 55%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 38%. 1–1 · 18–44–38
19. 54′THE CALL SWINGS · 54' Draw is now our likeliest result at 44% (was FC Sochi win 41%)
20. 55′The goal count is tracking the 2.7 we expected. 1–1 · 17–45–38
21. 59′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 59' FC Sochi win: 55% at kick-off, 35% now
22. 61′We said FC Sochi at 55%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 34%. 1–1 · 16–50–34
23. 66′FC Sochi score on 64′ to make it 1–2. 1–2 · 2–13–85
24. 66′We said FC Sochi at 55% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 85%. 1–2 · 2–13–85
25. 66′3 goals already, more than the 2.7 we expected for the whole match. 1–2 · 2–13–85
26. 66′🟨 YELLOW · 56' Kirill Zaika · FC Sochi
27. 66′PENALTY MISSED · 61' Aleksandr Pomalyuk · Tekstilshchik
28. 66′⚽ GOAL · 64' Tekstilshchik 1–2 FC Sochi
29. 66′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 66' FC Sochi win: 55% at kick-off, 85% now
30. 66′THE CALL SWINGS · 66' FC Sochi win is now our likeliest result at 85% (was Draw 55%)
31. 69′We said FC Sochi at 55% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 99%. 1–3 · 0–1–99
32. 69′That is 4, and we only asked for 2.7 across ninety minutes. 1–3 · 0–1–99
33. 69′⚽ GOAL · 69' Tekstilshchik 1–3 FC Sochi
34. 69′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 69' FC Sochi win: 55% at kick-off, 99% now
35. 71′FC Sochi ahead on 66′ through Zakhar Fedorov. 1–3. 1–3 · 0–1–99
36. 71′SUBSTITUTION · 62' Tekstilshchik · On: Maksim Kriushichev · Off: artem mikhailusov
37. 71′SUBSTITUTION · 62' Tekstilshchik · On: Aleksandr Gapechkin · Off: Yuriy Petin
38. 80′We said FC Sochi at 55% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to over 99%. 1–3 · 0–0–100
39. 81′SUBSTITUTION · 74' Tekstilshchik · On: Arseniy Filev · Off: Aleksandr Pomalyuk
40. 84′SUBSTITUTION · 75' FC Sochi · On: Ramil Sheydayev · Off: Zakhar Fedorov
41. 84′SUBSTITUTION · 75' FC Sochi · On: Oleg Kozhemyakin · Off: Aleksandr Metsiev
42. 84′SUBSTITUTION · 75' FC Sochi · On: Pavel Meleshin · Off: Mikhail Ignatov
43. 89′SUBSTITUTION · 80' FC Sochi · On: Roman Pasevich · Off: Ruslan Magal
44. 89′SUBSTITUTION · 82' Tekstilshchik · On: Ivan Ivanov · Off: Dmytro Ivanisenya
45. 89′SUBSTITUTION · 82' Tekstilshchik · On: Stanislav Biblik · Off: Nikolay Ishchenko
46. 98′SUBSTITUTION · 90' FC Sochi · On: Ruslan Bart · Off: Kirill Zaika
47. FTFULL TIME Tekstilshchik 1–3 FC Sochi
48. FTTekstilshchik 1–3 FC Sochi · FC Sochi win: right · Under 2.5: wrong · Not both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 0–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.