FC UFA v Nizhny Novgorod

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Nizhny Novgorod win at 53%.
2. 4′Little has changed for our model: Nizhny Novgorod 53% before kick-off, 52% now. 0–0 · 23–25–52
3. 4′KICK-OFF FC UFA v Nizhny Novgorod
4. 37′🟨 YELLOW · 35' FC UFA
5. 40′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 40' Nizhny Novgorod win: 53% at kick-off, 43% now
6. 44′8 shots for Nizhny Novgorod, 1 the other way, and nothing between the sides on the scoreboard. 0–0 · 22–36–42
7. 45′HALF-TIME FC UFA 0–0 Nizhny Novgorod
8. 45′🟨 YELLOW · 42' Gleb Popolitov · Nizhny Novgorod
9. 45′🟨 YELLOW · 43' Danil Lipovoy · FC UFA
10. 46′We said Nizhny Novgorod at 53%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 41%. 0–0 · 22–37–41
11. 50′SECOND HALF FC UFA 0–0 Nizhny Novgorod
12. 51′We said Nizhny Novgorod at 53%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 39%. 0–0 · 21–40–39
13. 55′Goalless on 55′ when we expected about 2.9 goals — that one is getting away from us. 0–0 · 20–43–37
14. 55′THE CALL SWINGS · 55' Draw is now our likeliest result at 43% (was Nizhny Novgorod win 40%)
15. 60′We said Nizhny Novgorod at 53%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 34%. 0–0 · 19–47–34
16. 62′12 shots for Nizhny Novgorod, 2 the other way, and nothing between the sides on the scoreboard. 0–0 · 18–49–33
17. 62′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 62' Nizhny Novgorod win: 53% at kick-off, 33% now
18. 63′🟨 YELLOW · 57' Viktor Aleksandrov · Nizhny Novgorod
19. 67′We said Nizhny Novgorod at 53%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 29%. 0–0 · 17–54–29
20. 69′SUBSTITUTION · 59' Nizhny Novgorod · On: Yuriy Koledin · Off: Gleb Shilnikov
21. 69′SUBSTITUTION · 59' Nizhny Novgorod · On: Ivan Bober · Off: Artem Sokolov
22. 73′We said Nizhny Novgorod at 53%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 24%. 0–0 · 14–62–24
23. 74′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 74' Nizhny Novgorod win: 53% at kick-off, 23% now
24. 78′We said Nizhny Novgorod at 53%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 19%. 0–0 · 11–70–19
25. 82′We said Nizhny Novgorod at 53%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 14%. 0–0 · 8–78–14
26. 83′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 83' Nizhny Novgorod win: 53% at kick-off, 12% now
27. 84′SUBSTITUTION · 77' FC UFA · On: Georgiy Gongadze · Off: Dilan Ortíz
28. 84′SUBSTITUTION · 77' FC UFA · On: Zalimkhan Yusupov · Off: Shamil Isaev
29. 84′SUBSTITUTION · 78' Nizhny Novgorod · On: Timofey Komissarov · Off: Gleb Popolitov
30. 84′SUBSTITUTION · 78' Nizhny Novgorod · On: Mamadou Maiga · Off: Nikita Ermakov
31. 86′We said Nizhny Novgorod at 53%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 9%. 0–0 · 6–85–9
32. 89′SUBSTITUTION · 83' FC UFA · On: Danil Akhatov · Off: Migran Ageyan
33. 92′We said Nizhny Novgorod at 53%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 4%. 0–0 · 2–94–4
34. 93′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 90+3' Nizhny Novgorod win: 53% at kick-off, 3% now
35. 95′A goal for Nizhny Novgorod on 90′. 0–0 · 1–97–2
36. 95′We said Nizhny Novgorod at 53% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 99%. 0–1 · 0–1–99
37. 95′⚽ GOAL · 90+1' FC UFA 0–1 Nizhny Novgorod
38. 95′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 90+5' Nizhny Novgorod win: 53% at kick-off, 99% now
39. 95′THE CALL SWINGS · 90+5' Nizhny Novgorod win is now our likeliest result at 99% (was Draw 97%)
40. FTFULL TIME FC UFA 0–1 Nizhny Novgorod
41. FTFC UFA 0–1 Nizhny Novgorod · Nizhny Novgorod win: right · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.