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Enisey v Torpedo Moskva
Enisey
Torpedo MoskvaFirst League · SAT 17 OCT · Central Stadium (Krasnoyarsk)
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Torpedo Moskva win at 40%.
- 2′Little has changed for our model: Torpedo Moskva 40% before kick-off, 40% now. 0–0 · 31–29–40
- 2′KICK-OFF Enisey v Torpedo Moskva
- 13′A goal for Torpedo Moskva on 13′. 0–0 · 30–31–39
- 14′We said Torpedo Moskva at 40% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 70%. 0–1 · 11–19–70
- 14′⚽ GOAL · 13' Enisey 0–1 Torpedo Moskva
- 14′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 14' Torpedo Moskva win: 40% at kick-off, 70% now
- 16′We said Torpedo Moskva at 40% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 89%. 0–2 · 3–8–89
- 16′⚽ GOAL · 16' Enisey 0–2 Torpedo Moskva
- 16′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 16' Torpedo Moskva win: 40% at kick-off, 89% now
- 17′A goal for Torpedo Moskva on 15′ — 0–2. 0–2 · 3–8–89
- 19′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 19' Torpedo Moskva win: 40% at kick-off, 90% now
- 20′Jonathan Okoronkwo scores for Torpedo Moskva on 14′ — 0–2. 0–2 · 3–8–90
- 20′We said Torpedo Moskva at 40% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 90%. 0–2 · 3–8–90
- 26′SUBSTITUTION · 23' Enisey · On: Andrea Chukanov · Off: Nikita Bogatyrev
- 34′3 goals already, more than the 2.4 we expected for the whole match. 1–2 · 8–20–72
- 34′Enisey score on 33′ to make it 1–2. 1–2 · 8–20–72
- 34′⚽ GOAL · 34' Enisey 1–2 Torpedo Moskva
- 34′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 34' Torpedo Moskva win: 40% at kick-off, 72% now
- 39′🟨 YELLOW · 38' Torpedo Moskva
- 45′HALF-TIME Enisey 1–2 Torpedo Moskva
- 46′SECOND HALF Enisey 1–2 Torpedo Moskva
- 48′We said Torpedo Moskva at 40% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 75%. 1–2 · 6–19–75
- 53′8 shots for Enisey, 3 the other way, and they still trail 1–2. 1–2 · 5–19–76
- 54′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Torpedo Moskva · On: Vladimir Moskvichev · Off: Aleksey Kashtanov
- 63′We said Torpedo Moskva at 40% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 80%. 1–2 · 3–17–80
- 63′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 63' Torpedo Moskva win: 40% at kick-off, 80% now
- 64′SUBSTITUTION · 61' Torpedo Moskva · On: Dmitriy Tsypchenko · Off: Jonathan Okoronkwo
- 64′SUBSTITUTION · 61' Torpedo Moskva · On: Ruslan Apekov · Off: Aleksandr Yushin
- 70′SUBSTITUTION · 63' Enisey · On: Luka Ratković · Off: Andrey Okladnikov
- 70′SUBSTITUTION · 63' Enisey · On: Rodion Pechura · Off: Aleksandr Lomakin
- 70′🟨 YELLOW · 69' Enisey
- 76′SUBSTITUTION · 72' Enisey · On: David Kokoev · Off: Aleksandr Kanaplin
- 80′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 80' Torpedo Moskva win: 40% at kick-off, 90% now
- 83′🟨 YELLOW · 79' Enisey
- 87′We said Torpedo Moskva at 40% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 95%. 1–2 · 0–5–95
- 92′SUBSTITUTION · 76' Torpedo Moskva · On: Aleksandr Orekhov · Off: Mario Ćurić
- 92′🟨 YELLOW · 87' Artem Gyurdzhan · Enisey
- FTFULL TIME Enisey 1–2 Torpedo Moskva
- FTEnisey 1–2 Torpedo Moskva · Torpedo Moskva win: right · Under 2.5: wrong · Not both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
PassTorpedo Moskva are narrow favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Enisey 31%, draw 28%, Torpedo Moskva 40%. Over 2.5 goals 43%, both teams to score 49%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off
Enisey win31%
Torpedo Moskva win40%Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 09:30
RoundMatchday 14
VenueCentral Stadium (Krasnoyarsk)
Match timeline
All events
EniseyMIN
Torpedo MoskvaEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Enisey
4-2-3-1
Torpedo Moskva
4-4-2
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Enisey
Torpedo Moskva
Last match: 14 Oct · the Russian Cup
Last match: 10 Oct · the Russian First League
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Enisey
4-2-3-1
23 S. Antipin
25 N. Shershov
22 A. Gyurdzhan
55 N. Bogatyrev
33 A. Maslovskiy
18 A. Nadolskiy
90 A. Lomakin
8 A. Kanaplin
21 E. Ivanov
87 A. Mazurin
75 A. Okladnikov
Coach · Vyacheslav Molchanov
Substitutes
1 · M. Oparin
3 · Y. Tses
10 · A. Aliyev
15 · M. Balakhonov
57 · E. Shupyakov
7 · A. Chukanov
17 · D. Kokoev
77 · R. Ogienko
81 · R. Pechura
27 · L. Ratkovic
Torpedo Moskva
4-4-2
25 R. Soldatenko
99 G. Shevchenko
2 N. Bozov
4 S. Borodin
17 I. Berkovsky
9 S. Oganesyan
97 M. Curic
20 J. Okoronkwo
7 A. Yushin
24 A. Pogosov
79 A. Kashtanov
Coach · Aleksandr Storozhuk
Substitutes
58 · D. Ladokha
22 · E. Parkhomenko
3 · A. Ivankov
84 · V. Churilov
5 · V. Moskvichev
21 · A. Galoyan
27 · A. Orekhov
8 · U. Ajibona
11 · R. Apekov
10 · D. Tsypchenko
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Enisey
4-2-3-1
23 S. Antipin
25 N. Shershov
22 A. Gyurdzhan
55 N. Bogatyrev
33 A. Maslovskiy
18 A. Nadolskiy
90 A. Lomakin
8 A. Kanaplin
21 E. Ivanov
87 A. Mazurin
75 A. Okladnikov
Coach · Vyacheslav Molchanov
Substitutes
1 · M. Oparin
3 · Y. Tses
10 · A. Aliyev
15 · M. Balakhonov
57 · E. Shupyakov
7 · A. Chukanov
17 · D. Kokoev
77 · R. Ogienko
81 · R. Pechura
27 · L. Ratkovic
Torpedo Moskva
4-4-2
25 R. Soldatenko
99 G. Shevchenko
2 N. Bozov
4 S. Borodin
17 I. Berkovsky
9 S. Oganesyan
97 M. Curic
20 J. Okoronkwo
7 A. Yushin
24 A. Pogosov
79 A. Kashtanov
Coach · Aleksandr Storozhuk
Substitutes
58 · D. Ladokha
22 · E. Parkhomenko
3 · A. Ivankov
84 · V. Churilov
5 · V. Moskvichev
21 · A. Galoyan
27 · A. Orekhov
8 · U. Ajibona
11 · R. Apekov
10 · D. Tsypchenko
We make Torpedo Moskva a 40% chance to win. The market has them at 45%. We are 5 points less confident than the market. The model expects 1.1–1.3.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 45% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Enisey win | 31% | 27% | +4 |
| Draw | 28% | 28% | 0 |
| Torpedo Moskva win | 40% | 45% | −5 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 43% | 43% | 0 |
| Both teams to score | 49% | 49% | 0 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 70% | 67% | +3 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 22% | 24% | −2 |
| Enisey or draw | 60% | 55% | +5 |
| Enisey clean sheet | 28% | – | – |
| Torpedo Moskva clean sheet | 33% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 3 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
8 meetings since 2021/22Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in First League this season · since 30 Aug
ENISEY
TORPEDO MOSKVA
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nizhny Novgorod | 13 | +27 | 34 |
| 2 | FC Sochi | 14 | +9 | 29 |
| 3 | Veles | 14 | +2 | 26 |
| 4 | Ural | 13 | +13 | 25 |
| 5 | Torpedo Moskva | 13 | +14 | 24 |
| 6 | Spartak Kostroma | 13 | +5 | 24 |
| 7 | Shinnik Yaroslavl | 13 | +4 | 19 |
| 8 | Rotor Volgograd | 14 | +5 | 18 |
| 9 | FC UFA | 13 | +2 | 18 |
| 10 | Arsenal Tula | 13 | −9 | 16 |
| 11 | Volga Ulyanovsk | 14 | −3 | 15 |
| 12 | Chelyabinsk | 13 | −4 | 15 |
| 13 | Enisey | 13 | −10 | 14 |
| 14 | Leningradets | 13 | −12 | 13 |
| 15 | FK Neftekhimik | 13 | −10 | 12 |
| 16 | KAMAZ | 13 | −8 | 10 |
| 17 | Ska-khabarovsk | 13 | −12 | 7 |
| 18 | Tekstilshchik | 13 | −13 | 7 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.
Nizhny Novgorod
FC Sochi
Veles
Ural
Spartak Kostroma
Shinnik Yaroslavl
Rotor Volgograd
FC UFA
Arsenal Tula
Volga Ulyanovsk
Chelyabinsk
Leningradets
FK Neftekhimik
KAMAZ
Ska-khabarovsk
Tekstilshchik