Krylia Sovetov v Dinamo Makhachkala
Krylia SovetovDinamo MakhachkalaCup · THU 29 OCT · Samara Arena
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
Krylia Sovetov are favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Krylia Sovetov 46%, draw 28%, Dinamo Makhachkala 26%. Over 2.5 goals 46%, both teams to score 50%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 23 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off
Krylia Sovetov win46%Dinamo Makhachkala win26%Kick-offTHU 29 OCT · 14:00
RoundGroup stage · matchday 5
VenueSamara Arena
Match timeline
All events
Krylia SovetovMINDinamo MakhachkalaEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Krylia Sovetov
Dinamo Makhachkala
Last match: 24 Oct · the Russian Premier League
Last match: 17 Oct · the Russian Premier League
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Krylia Sovetov a 46% chance to win. The market has them at 44%. We are within 2 points of the market. The model expects 1.5–1.0.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result and the chances each side creates and concedes, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Published at 45%, 46% now. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 44% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Krylia Sovetov win | 46% | 44% | +2 |
| Draw | 28% | 28% | 0 |
| Dinamo Makhachkala win | 26% | 28% | −2 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 46% | 47% | −1 |
| Both teams to score | 50% | 52% | −2 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 72% | 71% | +1 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 25% | 27% | −2 |
| Krylia Sovetov or draw | 74% | 72% | +2 |
| Krylia Sovetov clean sheet | 36% | – | – |
| Dinamo Makhachkala clean sheet | 23% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 2 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
8 meetings since 2021/22Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · Cup this season · since 4 Aug
KRYLIA SOVETOV
DINAMO MAKHACHKALA