FC Rostov v Akron
FC RostovAkronCup · WED 28 OCT · Rostov Arena
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
FC Rostov are favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: FC Rostov 48%, draw 27%, Akron 25%. Over 2.5 goals 50%, both teams to score 53%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 22 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off
FC Rostov win48%Akron win25%Kick-offWED 28 OCT · 15:15
RoundGroup stage · matchday 5
VenueRostov Arena
Match timeline
All events
FC RostovMINAkronEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
FC Rostov
Akron
Last match: 18 Oct · the Russian Premier League
Last match: 24 Oct · the Russian Premier League
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make FC Rostov a 48% chance to win. The market has them at 52%. We are 4 points less confident than the market. The model expects 1.6–1.1.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result and the chances each side creates and concedes, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Published at 50%, 48% now. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 52% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| FC Rostov win | 48% | 52% | −4 |
| Draw | 27% | 26% | +1 |
| Akron win | 25% | 22% | +3 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 49% | +1 |
| Both teams to score | 53% | 51% | +2 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 76% | 72% | +4 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 28% | 29% | −1 |
| FC Rostov or draw | 75% | 78% | −3 |
| FC Rostov clean sheet | 34% | – | – |
| Akron clean sheet | 20% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 2 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
6 meetings since 2021/22Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · Cup this season · since 4 Aug
FC ROSTOV
AKRON