FC Krasnodar v Dynamo
FC KrasnodarDynamoCup · TUE 27 OCT · Ozon Arena
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
FC Krasnodar are favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: FC Krasnodar 53%, draw 24%, Dynamo 23%. Over 2.5 goals 58%, both teams to score 59%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 21 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off
FC Krasnodar win53%Dynamo win23%Kick-offTUE 27 OCT · 17:30
RoundGroup stage · matchday 5
VenueOzon Arena
Match timeline
All events
FC KrasnodarMINDynamoEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
FC Krasnodar
Dynamo
Last match: 24 Oct · the Russian Premier League
Last match: 24 Oct · the Russian Premier League
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make FC Krasnodar a 53% chance to win. The market has them at 50%. We are 3 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.9–1.2.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result and the chances each side creates and concedes, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Published at 52%, 53% now. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 50% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| FC Krasnodar win | 53% | 50% | +3 |
| Draw | 24% | 22% | +2 |
| Dynamo win | 23% | 28% | −5 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 58% | 54% | +4 |
| Both teams to score | 59% | 55% | +4 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 81% | 77% | +4 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 36% | 32% | +4 |
| FC Krasnodar or draw | 77% | 72% | +5 |
| FC Krasnodar clean sheet | 31% | – | – |
| Dynamo clean sheet | 16% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 2 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
Last 10 meetingsEvery competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · Cup this season · since 5 Aug
FC KRASNODAR
DYNAMO