CSKA Moscow v Lokomotiv
CSKA MoscowLokomotivCup · THU 29 OCT · VEB Arena
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
CSKA Moscow are favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: CSKA Moscow 48%, draw 26%, Lokomotiv 26%. Over 2.5 goals 54%, both teams to score 57%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 23 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off
CSKA Moscow win48%Lokomotiv win26%Kick-offTHU 29 OCT · 16:30
RoundGroup stage · matchday 5
VenueVEB Arena
Match timeline
All events
CSKA MoscowMINLokomotivEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
CSKA Moscow
Lokomotiv
Last match: 18 Oct · the Russian Premier League
Last match: 17 Oct · the Russian Premier League
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make CSKA Moscow a 48% chance to win. The market has them at 49%. We are within 1 point of the market. The model expects 1.7–1.2.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result and the chances each side creates and concedes, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 49% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| CSKA Moscow win | 48% | 49% | −1 |
| Draw | 26% | 26% | 0 |
| Lokomotiv win | 26% | 25% | +1 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 54% | 53% | +1 |
| Both teams to score | 57% | 56% | +1 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 79% | 75% | +4 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 32% | 33% | −1 |
| CSKA Moscow or draw | 74% | 75% | −1 |
| CSKA Moscow clean sheet | 31% | – | – |
| Lokomotiv clean sheet | 19% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 2 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
Last 10 meetingsEvery competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · Cup this season · since 4 Aug
CSKA MOSCOW
LOKOMOTIV