Viitorul Cluj v Sighetu Marmaţiei prediction · Liga III

Full timeGraded 17 Oct 01:40

Viitorul Cluj 1–2 Sighetu Marmaţiei SIGHETU MARMAŢIEI WIN · RIGHTUNDER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Sighetu Marmaţiei win~~39%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.566

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pass

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Sighetu Marmaţiei are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Viitorul Cluj 33%, draw 28%, Sighetu Marmaţiei 39%. Over 2.5 goals 45%, both teams to score 50%.

The AI’s read on Viitorul Cluj v Sighetu MarmaţieiBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 10 Oct 03:49 · locked at kick-off

Viitorul Cluj win33%

Draw28%

Sighetu Marmaţiei win39%

Kick-offFRI 16 OCT · 13:00

RoundGroup 8 · matchday 9

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Viitorul Cluj

Sighetu Marmaţiei

6Days since last match6

Last match: 10 Oct · Liga III - Serie 8

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
6	Viitorul Cluj	8	+6	12
8	Sighetu Marmaţiei	8	+4	11

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · sighetu marmaţiei winFirst published 10 Oct 03:49 · updated 11 Oct 04:05 · locked at kick-off

39% The market–

Us39%

We make Sighetu Marmaţiei a 39% chance to win. The model expects 1.2–1.3, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 13%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Viitorul Cluj v Sighetu Marmaţiei~~1.18 – 1.29

~~Form · last six in Liga III - Serie 8 this season · since 11 Sept~~W3 D2 L1 · W2 D2 L2

~~Table places · points 12 v 11~~6 v 8

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · Sighetu Marmaţiei win

Published at 37%, 39% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Viitorul Cluj win	33%	–	–
Draw	28%	–	–
Sighetu Marmaţiei win	39%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	45%	–	–
Both teams to score	50%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	71%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	24%	–	–
Viitorul Cluj or draw	61%	–	–
Viitorul Cluj clean sheet	28%	–	–
Sighetu Marmaţiei clean sheet	32%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 12.9%

0123450 9.4 10.5 7.0 3.1 1 9.5 12.9 8.0 3.5 2 5.9 7.3 4.7 2.1 3 2.4 3.0 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Viitorul Cluj down, Sighetu Marmaţiei across0–5 goals a side shown (99.5% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 692 Liga III - Serie 8 matches up to 16 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Liga III - Serie 8 matches have gone over 2.5 in 52.1% of games this season, across 48 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 7 previous meetings since 2022/23 in every competition we cover, 2.57 goals a meeting; 3 of 7 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Viitorul Cluj at home: 2.33 scored, 1.00 conceded a game (last 6). Sighetu Marmaţiei away: 0.83 scored, 1.17 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.18 goals for Viitorul Cluj, 1.29 for Sighetu Marmaţiei. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

7 meetings since 2022/23

~~Goals a meeting~~2.57

~~Over 2.5~~3 of 7

~~Both scored~~3 of 7

~~Last meetings~~VII 1–1 SIG · VII 0–1 SIG · SIG 1–0 VII · SIG 5–0 VII

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Liga III - Serie 8 this season · since 11 Sept

VIITORUL CLUJ

DWWDWL0–0 · 6–2 · 2–0 · 2–2 · 4–2 · 0–1

SIGHETU MARMAŢIEI

DDWLLW0–0 · 1–1 · 3–0 · 0–2 · 0–1 · 3–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Minaur Baia Mare	8	+18	19
2	Academica Recea	8	+2	15
3	SCM Zalău	8	+7	14
4	Sănătatea Cluj	8	+7	13
5	Crişul Sântandrei	8	0	13
6	Viitorul Cluj	8	+6	12
7	Sânmartin	8	+3	12
8	Sighetu Marmaţiei	8	+4	11
9	Bihorul Beiuş	8	−1	11
10	Unirea Tășnad	8	−12	6
11	Unirea Dej	8	−10	5
12	Transilvania Sport Academy	8	−24	1