Unirea Tășnad v Sighetu Marmaţiei prediction · Liga III

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Unirea TășnadDrawSighetu Marmaţiei

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 13:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Sighetu Marmaţiei 42%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Sighetu Marmaţiei are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Unirea Tășnad 32%, draw 26%, Sighetu Marmaţiei 42%. Over 2.5 goals 52%, both teams to score 56%.

The AI’s read on Unirea Tășnad v Sighetu MarmaţieiBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

Unirea Tășnad win32%

Draw26%

Sighetu Marmaţiei win42%

Kick-offSAT 31 OCT · 13:00

RoundGroup 8 · matchday 11

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Unirea Tășnad

Sighetu Marmaţiei

7Days since last match7

Last match: 24 Oct · Liga III - Serie 8

2Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
5	Sighetu Marmaţiei	10	+10	17
10	Unirea Tășnad	10	−13	9

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · sighetu marmaţiei winFirst published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

42% The market–

Us42%

We make Sighetu Marmaţiei a 42% chance to win. The model expects 1.3–1.5, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 12%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Unirea Tășnad v Sighetu Marmaţiei~~1.27 – 1.52

~~Form · last six in Liga III - Serie 8 this season · since 23 Sept~~W2 D1 L3 · W4 D0 L2

~~Table places · points 9 v 17~~10 v 5

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Unirea Tășnad win	32%	–	–
Draw	26%	–	–
Sighetu Marmaţiei win	42%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	52%	–	–
Both teams to score	56%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	77%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	31%	–	–
Unirea Tășnad or draw	58%	–	–
Unirea Tășnad clean sheet	23%	–	–
Sighetu Marmaţiei clean sheet	29%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 12.1%

0123450 7.2 8.8 7.1 3.6 1 7.3 12.1 8.6 4.4 2 5.0 7.3 5.4 2.8 3 2.2 3.2 2.4 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Unirea Tășnad down, Sighetu Marmaţiei across0–5 goals a side shown (99.1% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 704 Liga III - Serie 8 matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Liga III - Serie 8 matches have gone over 2.5 in 55.0% of games this season, across 60 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 2 previous meetings since 2025/26 in every competition we cover, 3.00 goals a meeting; 1 of 2 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Unirea Tășnad at home: 0.67 scored, 1.00 conceded a game (last 6). Sighetu Marmaţiei away: 1.17 scored, 0.83 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.27 goals for Unirea Tășnad, 1.52 for Sighetu Marmaţiei. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2025/26

~~Goals a meeting~~3.00

~~Over 2.5~~1 of 2

~~Both scored~~2 of 2

~~Last meetings~~SIG 1–1 UNI · UNI 1–3 SIG

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Liga III - Serie 8 this season · since 23 Sept

UNIREA TĂȘNAD

LLDWWL0–4 · 1–2 · 0–0 · 1–0 · 2–1 · 1–3

SIGHETU MARMAŢIEI

WLLWWW3–0 · 0–2 · 0–1 · 3–0 · 2–1 · 5–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Minaur Baia Mare	10	+20	23
2	Sănătatea Cluj	10	+10	19
3	Crişul Sântandrei	10	+3	19
4	Academica Recea	10	+4	18
5	Sighetu Marmaţiei	10	+10	17
6	SCM Zalău	10	+7	16
7	Sânmartin	10	−1	13
8	Bihorul Beiuş	10	−1	13
9	Viitorul Cluj	10	+3	12
10	Unirea Tășnad	10	−13	9
11	Unirea Dej	10	−12	5
12	Transilvania Sport Academy	10	−30	1