Transilvania Sport Academy v Crişul Sântandrei prediction · Liga III

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Transilvania Sport AcademyDrawCrişul Sântandrei

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 13:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Crişul Sântandrei 75%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Crişul Sântandrei are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Transilvania Sport Academy 11%, draw 14%, Crişul Sântandrei 75%. Over 2.5 goals 80%, both teams to score 65%.

The AI’s read on Transilvania Sport Academy v Crişul SântandreiBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

Transilvania Sport Academy win11%

Draw14%

Crişul Sântandrei win75%

Kick-offSAT 31 OCT · 13:00

RoundGroup 8 · matchday 11

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Transilvania Sport Academy

Crişul Sântandrei

7Days since last match7

Last match: 24 Oct · Liga III - Serie 8

2Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
4	Crişul Sântandrei	9	+1	16
12	Transilvania Sport Academy	9	−25	1

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · crişul sântandrei winFirst published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

75% The market–

Us75%

We make Crişul Sântandrei a 75% chance to win. The model expects 1.2–3.3, and 1–3 is the single most likely score at 7%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Transilvania Sport Academy v Crişul Sântandrei~~1.19 – 3.25

~~Form · last six in Liga III - Serie 8 this season · since 22 Sept~~W0 D1 L5 · W4 D1 L1

~~Table places · points 1 v 16~~12 v 4

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Transilvania Sport Academy win	11%	–	–
Draw	14%	–	–
Crişul Sântandrei win	75%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	80%	–	–
Both teams to score	65%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	93%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	63%	–	–
Transilvania Sport Academy or draw	25%	–	–
Transilvania Sport Academy clean sheet	5%	–	–
Crişul Sântandrei clean sheet	32%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–3 at 7.3%

0123450 4.0 6.4 6.5 5.2 3.51 5.3 7.3 7.3 5.7 3.82 3.0 4.3 4.3 3.4 2.23 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Transilvania Sport Academy down, Crişul Sântandrei across0–5 goals a side shown (87.0% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 704 Liga III - Serie 8 matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Liga III - Serie 8 matches have gone over 2.5 in 55.0% of games this season, across 60 played.

Head to head

No meeting between these two in any competition we cover since 2026/27.

Home and away form

Transilvania Sport Academy at home: 1.00 scored, 2.00 conceded a game (last 4). Crişul Sântandrei away: 2.67 scored, 1.83 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.19 goals for Transilvania Sport Academy, 3.25 for Crişul Sântandrei. Most likely score 1–3.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

No meetings since 2026/27

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2026/27.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Liga III - Serie 8 this season · since 22 Sept

TRANSILVANIA SPORT ACADEMY

LDLLLL1–7 · 0–0 · 2–4 · 0–6 · 1–2 · 0–5

CRIŞUL SÂNTANDREI

DWWLWW2–2 · 2–1 · 2–1 · 0–2 · 2–1 · 3–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Minaur Baia Mare	9	+18	20
2	Sănătatea Cluj	10	+10	19
3	Academica Recea	10	+4	18
4	Crişul Sântandrei	9	+1	16
5	SCM Zalău	9	+7	15
6	Sighetu Marmaţiei	9	+5	14
7	Sânmartin	10	−1	13
8	Viitorul Cluj	9	+5	12
9	Bihorul Beiuş	9	−1	12
10	Unirea Tășnad	9	−11	9
11	Unirea Dej	10	−12	5
12	Transilvania Sport Academy	9	−25	1