SCM Zalău v Sânmartin prediction · Liga III

Full timeGraded 18 Oct 01:51

SCM Zalău 1–1 Sânmartin SCM ZALĂU WIN · WRONGUNDER 2.5 · RIGHTNOT BOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · RIGHT

~~We said SCM Zalău win~~45%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.786

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pass

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

SCM Zalău are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: SCM Zalău 45%, draw 28%, Sânmartin 27%. Over 2.5 goals 42%, both teams to score 46%.

The AI’s read on SCM Zalău v SânmartinBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

SCM Zalău win45%

Draw28%

Sânmartin win27%

Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 13:00

RoundGroup 8 · matchday 9

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

SCM Zalău

Sânmartin

8Days since last match8

Last match: 9 Oct · Liga III - Serie 8

2Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
5	SCM Zalău	8	+7	14
8	Sânmartin	8	+3	12

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · scm zalău winFirst published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

45% The market–

Us45%

We make SCM Zalău a 45% chance to win. The model expects 1.4–1.0, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 13%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · SCM Zalău v Sânmartin~~1.36 – 0.99

~~Form · last six in Liga III - Serie 8 this season · since 11 Sept~~W3 D2 L1 · W1 D3 L2

~~Table places · points 14 v 12~~5 v 8

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
SCM Zalău win	45%	–	–
Draw	28%	–	–
Sânmartin win	27%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	42%	–	–
Both teams to score	46%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	68%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	21%	–	–
SCM Zalău or draw	73%	–	–
SCM Zalău clean sheet	38%	–	–
Sânmartin clean sheet	27%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 12.8%

0123450 10.6 9.1 4.7 1 12.5 12.8 6.1 2.1 2 8.7 8.3 4.1 3 4.0 3.8 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+SCM Zalău down, Sânmartin across0–5 goals a side shown (99.5% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 695 Liga III - Serie 8 matches up to 16 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Liga III - Serie 8 matches have gone over 2.5 in 54.9% of games this season, across 51 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: the last 10 meetings in every competition we cover, 2.50 goals a meeting; 6 of 10 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

SCM Zalău at home: 1.00 scored, 0.67 conceded a game (last 6). Sânmartin away: 1.17 scored, 0.50 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.36 goals for SCM Zalău, 0.99 for Sânmartin. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

Last 10 meetings

~~Goals a meeting~~2.50

~~Over 2.5~~6 of 10

~~Both scored~~4 of 10

~~Last meetings~~SCM 1–3 SAN · SAN 0–1 SCM · SCM 4–1 SAN · SAN 0–2 SCM

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Liga III - Serie 8 this season · since 11 Sept

SCM ZALĂU

DWWWLD0–0 · 3–2 · 4–0 · 2–0 · 1–2 · 1–1

SÂNMARTIN

WDDDLL5–0 · 1–1 · 2–2 · 1–1 · 0–4 · 0–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Minaur Baia Mare	8	+18	19
2	Sănătatea Cluj	9	+9	16
3	Crişul Sântandrei	9	+1	16
4	Academica Recea	9	0	15
5	SCM Zalău	8	+7	14
6	Sighetu Marmaţiei	9	+5	14
7	Viitorul Cluj	9	+5	12
8	Sânmartin	8	+3	12
9	Bihorul Beiuş	8	−1	11
10	Unirea Tășnad	8	−12	6
11	Unirea Dej	9	−11	5
12	Transilvania Sport Academy	8	−24	1