SCM Zalău v Minaur Baia Mare prediction · Liga III

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

SCM ZalăuDrawMinaur Baia Mare

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 13:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Minaur Baia Mare 40%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Minaur Baia Mare are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: SCM Zalău 33%, draw 27%, Minaur Baia Mare 40%. Over 2.5 goals 50%, both teams to score 54%.

The AI’s read on SCM Zalău v Minaur Baia MareBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

SCM Zalău win33%

Draw27%

Minaur Baia Mare win40%

Kick-offSAT 31 OCT · 13:00

RoundGroup 8 · matchday 11

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

SCM Zalău

Minaur Baia Mare

7Days since last match7

Last match: 24 Oct · Liga III - Serie 8

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · minaur baia mare winFirst published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

40% The market–

Us40%

We make Minaur Baia Mare a 40% chance to win. The model expects 1.3–1.4, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 13%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · SCM Zalău v Minaur Baia Mare~~1.26 – 1.41

~~Form · last six in Liga III - Serie 8 this season · since 22 Sept~~W2 D3 L1 · W4 D2 L0

~~Table places · points 16 v 23~~6 v 1

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
SCM Zalău win	33%	–	–
Draw	27%	–	–
Minaur Baia Mare win	40%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	50%	–	–
Both teams to score	54%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	74%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	28%	–	–
SCM Zalău or draw	60%	–	–
SCM Zalău clean sheet	25%	–	–
Minaur Baia Mare clean sheet	29%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 12.5%

0123450 8.1 9.3 6.9 3.3 1 8.2 12.5 8.3 4.0 2 5.5 7.4 5.2 2.5 3 2.4 3.2 2.2 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+SCM Zalău down, Minaur Baia Mare across0–5 goals a side shown (99.3% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 704 Liga III - Serie 8 matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Liga III - Serie 8 matches have gone over 2.5 in 55.0% of games this season, across 60 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: the last 10 meetings in every competition we cover, 3.10 goals a meeting; 6 of 10 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

SCM Zalău at home: 1.00 scored, 0.67 conceded a game (last 6). Minaur Baia Mare away: 1.50 scored, 0.83 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.26 goals for SCM Zalău, 1.41 for Minaur Baia Mare. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

Last 10 meetings

~~Goals a meeting~~3.10

~~Over 2.5~~6 of 10

~~Both scored~~6 of 10

~~Last meetings~~SCM 3–1 MIN · MIN 4–1 SCM · MIN 1–2 SCM · SCM 2–3 MIN

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Liga III - Serie 8 this season · since 22 Sept

SCM ZALĂU

WWLDDD4–0 · 2–0 · 1–2 · 1–1 · 1–1 · 1–1

MINAUR BAIA MARE

WDWWDW2–0 · 2–2 · 4–0 · 6–0 · 0–0 · 3–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Minaur Baia Mare	10	+20	23
2	Sănătatea Cluj	10	+10	19
3	Crişul Sântandrei	10	+3	19
4	Academica Recea	10	+4	18
5	Sighetu Marmaţiei	10	+10	17
6	SCM Zalău	10	+7	16
7	Sânmartin	10	−1	13
8	Bihorul Beiuş	10	−1	13
9	Viitorul Cluj	10	+3	12
10	Unirea Tășnad	10	−13	9
11	Unirea Dej	10	−12	5
12	Transilvania Sport Academy	10	−30	1