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Sânmartin v Bihorul Beiuş

Sânmartin

0–1Full time

Bihorul Beiuş

Liga III - Serie 8 · FRI 9 OCT

Full timeGraded 10 Oct 01:30

Sânmartin 0–1 Bihorul Beiuş SÂNMARTIN WIN · WRONGUNDER 2.5 · RIGHTNOT BOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · WRONGUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Sânmartin win~~53%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.964

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

Sânmartin win53%

Draw25%

Bihorul Beiuş win21%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

FRI 9 OCT · 13:00

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · sânmartin winPublished 9 Oct 23:31

53% The market–

Us53%

We make Sânmartin a 53% chance to win. The model expects 1.7–1.0, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 12%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Sânmartin win	53%	–	–
Draw	25%	–	–
Bihorul Beiuş win	21%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	48%	–	–
Both teams to score	49%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	73%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	27%	–	–
Sânmartin or draw	79%	–	–
Sânmartin clean sheet	39%	–	–
Bihorul Beiuş clean sheet	20%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 11.8%

0123450 8.4 6.6 3.4 1 11.7 11.8 5.4 2 9.9 9.1 4.4 3 5.6 5.1 2.4 4 2.4 2.2 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Sânmartin down, Bihorul Beiuş across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 686 Liga III - Serie 8 matches up to 9 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Liga III - Serie 8 matches have gone over 2.5 in 54.8% of games this season, across 42 played.

Head to head

3 previous meetings, 1.33 goals a meeting; 0 of 3 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Sânmartin at home: 2.33 scored, 1.17 conceded a game (last 6). Bihorul Beiuş away: 0.83 scored, 0.67 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.66 goals for Sânmartin, 0.95 for Bihorul Beiuş. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

3 meetings since 2025

~~Goals a meeting~~1.33

~~Over 2.5~~0 of 3

~~Both scored~~2 of 3

~~Last meetings~~SAN 1–1 BIH · SAN 1–1 BIH · BIH 0–0 SAN

Form · last six in Liga III - Serie 8

SÂNMARTIN

WWDDDL3–1 · 5–0 · 1–1 · 2–2 · 1–1 · 0–4

BIHORUL BEIUŞ

DWDLLL1–1 · 2–0 · 0–0 · 0–3 · 1–2 · 1–3

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Minaur Baia Mare	7	+12	16
2	SCM Zalău	7	+7	13
3	Crişul Sântandrei	7	+2	13
4	Viitorul Cluj	7	+7	12
5	Sănătatea Cluj	7	+7	12
6	Sânmartin	7	+4	12
7	Academica Recea	7	0	12
8	Sighetu Marmaţiei	7	+1	8
9	Bihorul Beiuş	7	−2	8
10	Unirea Dej	7	−7	5
11	Unirea Tășnad	7	−13	3
12	Transilvania Sport Academy	7	−18	1