Sănătatea Cluj v Unirea Dej prediction · Liga III

Full timeGraded 24 Oct 01:30

Sănătatea Cluj 1–0 Unirea Dej SĂNĂTATEA CLUJ WIN · RIGHTUNDER 2.5 · RIGHTNOT BOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · WRONGUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–0 EXACTLY · RIGHT

~~We said Sănătatea Cluj win~~69%

~~The market said~~81%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.154

~~The market’s Brier score~~0.059

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Sănătatea Cluj are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Sănătatea Cluj 69%, draw 21%, Unirea Dej 10%. Over 2.5 goals 46%, both teams to score 37%.

The AI’s read on Sănătatea Cluj v Unirea DejBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 17 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

Sănătatea Cluj win69%

Draw21%

Unirea Dej win10%

Kick-offFRI 23 OCT · 13:00

RoundGroup 8 · matchday 10

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Sănătatea Cluj

Unirea Dej

7Days since last match7

Last match: 16 Oct · Liga III - Serie 8

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
2	Sănătatea Cluj	9	+9	16
11	Unirea Dej	9	−11	5

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · sănătatea cluj winFirst published 17 Oct 00:01 · updated 17 Oct 01:54 · locked at kick-off

69% The market81%

Us69%

~~Market~~81%

We make Sănătatea Cluj a 69% chance to win. The market has them at 81%. We are 12 points less confident than the market. The model expects 2.0–0.6.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Sănătatea Cluj v Unirea Dej~~1.95 – 0.58

~~Form · last six in Liga III - Serie 8 this season · since 19 Sept~~W3 D2 L1 · W0 D2 L4

~~Table places · points 16 v 5~~2 v 11

~~The market · Sănătatea Cluj win~~81% · ours 69%

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · Sănătatea Cluj win The market, margin stripped

Published at 67%, 69% now. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 81% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Sănătatea Cluj win	69%	81%	−12
Draw	21%	13%	+8
Unirea Dej win	10%	6%	+4
Over 2.5 goals	46%	62%	−16
Both teams to score	37%	38%	−1
Over 1.5 goals	72%	82%	−10
Over 3.5 goals	25%	41%	−16
Sănătatea Cluj or draw	90%	94%	−4
Sănătatea Cluj clean sheet	57%	–	–
Unirea Dej clean sheet	15%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 7 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 15.1%

0123450 9.0 4.3 1 15.1 9.3 2.7 2 14.7 8.2 2.5 3 9.6 5.3 4 4.9 2.6 5 2.1

under 2% 5% 12%+Sănătatea Cluj down, Unirea Dej across0–5 goals a side shown (98.0% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 698 Liga III - Serie 8 matches up to 17 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Liga III - Serie 8 matches have gone over 2.5 in 53.7% of games this season, across 54 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 4 previous meetings since 2020/21 in every competition we cover, 4.75 goals a meeting; 4 of 4 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Sănătatea Cluj at home: 1.17 scored, 0.67 conceded a game (last 6). Unirea Dej away: 0.83 scored, 1.83 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.95 goals for Sănătatea Cluj, 0.58 for Unirea Dej. Most likely score 1–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

4 meetings since 2020/21

~~Goals a meeting~~4.75

~~Over 2.5~~4 of 4

~~Both scored~~2 of 4

~~Last meetings~~UNI 0–5 SAN · SAN 3–2 UNI · UNI 3–3 SAN · SAN 0–3 UNI

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Liga III - Serie 8 this season · since 19 Sept

SĂNĂTATEA CLUJ

WLDWDW2–0 · 0–2 · 1–1 · 3–1 · 1–1 · 3–1

UNIREA DEJ

LLDDLL1–5 · 0–2 · 0–0 · 0–0 · 0–3 · 1–2

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Minaur Baia Mare	9	+18	20
2	Sănătatea Cluj	9	+9	16
3	Crişul Sântandrei	9	+1	16
4	SCM Zalău	9	+7	15
5	Academica Recea	9	0	15
6	Sighetu Marmaţiei	9	+5	14
7	Sânmartin	9	+3	13
8	Viitorul Cluj	9	+5	12
9	Bihorul Beiuş	9	−1	12
10	Unirea Tășnad	9	−11	9
11	Unirea Dej	9	−11	5
12	Transilvania Sport Academy	9	−25	1