Bihorul Beiuş v Minaur Baia Mare prediction · Liga III

Full timeGraded 18 Oct 01:51

Bihorul Beiuş 0–0 Minaur Baia Mare MINAUR BAIA MARE WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · WRONGUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Minaur Baia Mare win~~58%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.979

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pass

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Minaur Baia Mare are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Bihorul Beiuş 20%, draw 22%, Minaur Baia Mare 58%. Over 2.5 goals 58%, both teams to score 55%.

The AI’s read on Bihorul Beiuş v Minaur Baia MareBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

Bihorul Beiuş win20%

Draw22%

Minaur Baia Mare win58%

Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 13:00

RoundGroup 8 · matchday 9

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Bihorul Beiuş

Minaur Baia Mare

8Days since last match7

Last match: 9 Oct · Liga III - Serie 8

Last match: 10 Oct · Liga III - Serie 8

2Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · minaur baia mare winFirst published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

58% The market–

Us58%

We make Minaur Baia Mare a 58% chance to win. The model expects 1.1–2.0, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 10%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Bihorul Beiuş v Minaur Baia Mare~~1.06 – 1.98

~~Form · last six in Liga III - Serie 8 this season · since 12 Sept~~W2 D1 L3 · W4 D1 L1

~~Table places · points 11 v 19~~9 v 1

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Bihorul Beiuş win	20%	–	–
Draw	22%	–	–
Minaur Baia Mare win	58%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	58%	–	–
Both teams to score	55%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	80%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	36%	–	–
Bihorul Beiuş or draw	42%	–	–
Bihorul Beiuş clean sheet	15%	–	–
Minaur Baia Mare clean sheet	36%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 10.2%

0123450 5.6 9.3 9.3 6.1 3.2 1 4.9 10.2 9.4 6.2 3.1 2 2.8 5.2 5.0 3.2 3 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Bihorul Beiuş down, Minaur Baia Mare across0–5 goals a side shown (97.8% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 695 Liga III - Serie 8 matches up to 16 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Liga III - Serie 8 matches have gone over 2.5 in 54.9% of games this season, across 51 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 2 previous meetings since 2025/26 in every competition we cover, 3.50 goals a meeting; 2 of 2 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Bihorul Beiuş at home: 1.50 scored, 1.33 conceded a game (last 6). Minaur Baia Mare away: 1.50 scored, 0.83 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.06 goals for Bihorul Beiuş, 1.98 for Minaur Baia Mare. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2025/26

~~Goals a meeting~~3.50

~~Over 2.5~~2 of 2

~~Both scored~~0 of 2

~~Last meetings~~MIN 4–0 BIH · BIH 0–3 MIN

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Liga III - Serie 8 this season · since 12 Sept

BIHORUL BEIUŞ

WDLLLW2–0 · 0–0 · 0–3 · 1–2 · 1–3 · 1–0

MINAUR BAIA MARE

LWWDWW0–1 · 5–1 · 2–0 · 2–2 · 4–0 · 6–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Minaur Baia Mare	8	+18	19
2	Sănătatea Cluj	9	+9	16
3	Crişul Sântandrei	9	+1	16
4	Academica Recea	9	0	15
5	SCM Zalău	8	+7	14
6	Sighetu Marmaţiei	9	+5	14
7	Viitorul Cluj	9	+5	12
8	Sânmartin	8	+3	12
9	Bihorul Beiuş	8	−1	11
10	Unirea Tășnad	8	−12	6
11	Unirea Dej	9	−11	5
12	Transilvania Sport Academy	8	−24	1