Academica Recea v Sănătatea Cluj prediction · Liga III

Full timeGraded 17 Oct 01:40

Academica Recea 1–3 Sănătatea Cluj SĂNĂTATEA CLUJ WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Sănătatea Cluj win~~48%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.403

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pass

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Sănătatea Cluj are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Academica Recea 27%, draw 25%, Sănătatea Cluj 48%. Over 2.5 goals 52%, both teams to score 54%.

The AI’s read on Academica Recea v Sănătatea ClujBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 10 Oct 03:49 · locked at kick-off

Academica Recea win27%

Draw25%

Sănătatea Cluj win48%

Kick-offFRI 16 OCT · 13:00

RoundGroup 8 · matchday 9

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Academica Recea

Sănătatea Cluj

6Days since last match7

Last match: 10 Oct · Liga III - Serie 8

Last match: 9 Oct · Liga III - Serie 8

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
2	Academica Recea	8	+2	15
4	Sănătatea Cluj	8	+7	13

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · sănătatea cluj winFirst published 10 Oct 03:49 · updated 11 Oct 04:05 · locked at kick-off

48% The market–

Us48%

We make Sănătatea Cluj a 48% chance to win. The model expects 1.1–1.6, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 12%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Academica Recea v Sănătatea Cluj~~1.14 – 1.65

~~Form · last six in Liga III - Serie 8 this season · since 11 Sept~~W4 D0 L2 · W2 D3 L1

~~Table places · points 15 v 13~~2 v 4

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · Sănătatea Cluj win

Published at 52%, 48% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Academica Recea win	27%	–	–
Draw	25%	–	–
Sănătatea Cluj win	48%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	52%	–	–
Both teams to score	54%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	76%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	31%	–	–
Academica Recea or draw	52%	–	–
Academica Recea clean sheet	21%	–	–
Sănătatea Cluj clean sheet	33%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 11.6%

0123450 7.2 9.8 8.2 4.6 2.0 1 6.8 11.6 8.8 4.9 2.1 2 4.2 6.4 5.1 2.8 3 2.6 2.0 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Academica Recea down, Sănătatea Cluj across0–5 goals a side shown (98.8% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 692 Liga III - Serie 8 matches up to 16 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Liga III - Serie 8 matches have gone over 2.5 in 52.1% of games this season, across 48 played.

Head to head

No meeting between these two in any competition we cover since 2026/27.

Home and away form

Academica Recea at home: 2.67 scored, 1.33 conceded a game (last 3). Sănătatea Cluj away: 2.00 scored, 0.33 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.14 goals for Academica Recea, 1.65 for Sănătatea Cluj. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

No meetings since 2026/27

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2026/27.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Liga III - Serie 8 this season · since 11 Sept

ACADEMICA RECEA

LLWWWW0–3 · 2–6 · 7–1 · 2–1 · 1–0 · 2–0

SĂNĂTATEA CLUJ

DWLDWD0–0 · 2–0 · 0–2 · 1–1 · 3–1 · 1–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Minaur Baia Mare	8	+18	19
2	Academica Recea	8	+2	15
3	SCM Zalău	8	+7	14
4	Sănătatea Cluj	8	+7	13
5	Crişul Sântandrei	8	0	13
6	Viitorul Cluj	8	+6	12
7	Sânmartin	8	+3	12
8	Sighetu Marmaţiei	8	+4	11
9	Bihorul Beiuş	8	−1	11
10	Unirea Tășnad	8	−12	6
11	Unirea Dej	8	−10	5
12	Transilvania Sport Academy	8	−24	1