Academica Recea v Bihorul Beiuş prediction · Liga III

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Academica ReceaDrawBihorul Beiuş

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 13:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Academica Recea 51%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Academica Recea are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Academica Recea 51%, draw 23%, Bihorul Beiuş 25%. Over 2.5 goals 61%, both teams to score 60%.

The AI’s read on Academica Recea v Bihorul BeiuşBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 24 Oct 00:02 · locked at kick-off

Academica Recea win51%

Draw23%

Bihorul Beiuş win25%

Kick-offFRI 30 OCT · 13:00

RoundGroup 8 · matchday 11

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Academica Recea

Bihorul Beiuş

7Days since last match13

Last match: 23 Oct · Liga III - Serie 8

Last match: 17 Oct · Liga III - Serie 8

2Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
3	Academica Recea	10	+4	18
9	Bihorul Beiuş	9	−1	12

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · academica recea winFirst published 24 Oct 00:02 · updated 24 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

51% The market–

Us51%

We make Academica Recea a 51% chance to win. The model expects 1.9–1.3, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 10%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Academica Recea v Bihorul Beiuş~~1.91 – 1.27

~~Form · last six in Liga III - Serie 8 this season · since 19 Sept~~W5 D0 L1 · W1 D2 L3

~~Table places · points 18 v 12~~3 v 9

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · Academica Recea win

Published at 45%, 51% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Academica Recea win	51%	–	–
Draw	23%	–	–
Bihorul Beiuş win	25%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	61%	–	–
Both teams to score	60%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	82%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	39%	–	–
Academica Recea or draw	75%	–	–
Academica Recea clean sheet	29%	–	–
Bihorul Beiuş clean sheet	16%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 10.4%

0123450 5.1 5.1 3.5 1 7.7 10.4 6.2 2.7 2 7.5 9.1 5.7 2.5 3 4.8 5.8 3.6 4 2.4 2.8 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Academica Recea down, Bihorul Beiuş across0–5 goals a side shown (97.8% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 700 Liga III - Serie 8 matches up to 23 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Liga III - Serie 8 matches have gone over 2.5 in 53.6% of games this season, across 56 played.

Head to head

No meeting between these two in any competition we cover since 2026/27.

Home and away form

Academica Recea at home: 2.25 scored, 1.75 conceded a game (last 4). Bihorul Beiuş away: 0.83 scored, 0.50 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.91 goals for Academica Recea, 1.27 for Bihorul Beiuş. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

No meetings since 2026/27

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2026/27.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Liga III - Serie 8 this season · since 19 Sept

ACADEMICA RECEA

WWWWLW7–1 · 2–1 · 1–0 · 2–0 · 1–3 · 5–1

BIHORUL BEIUŞ

DLLLWD0–0 · 0–3 · 1–2 · 1–3 · 1–0 · 0–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Minaur Baia Mare	9	+18	20
2	Sănătatea Cluj	10	+10	19
3	Academica Recea	10	+4	18
4	Crişul Sântandrei	9	+1	16
5	SCM Zalău	9	+7	15
6	Sighetu Marmaţiei	9	+5	14
7	Sânmartin	10	−1	13
8	Viitorul Cluj	9	+5	12
9	Bihorul Beiuş	9	−1	12
10	Unirea Tășnad	9	−11	9
11	Unirea Dej	10	−12	5
12	Transilvania Sport Academy	9	−25	1