Viitorul Arad v Timişul Şag prediction · Liga III

Full timeGraded 18 Oct 01:51

Viitorul Arad 1–0 Timişul Şag VIITORUL ARAD WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · WRONGUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Viitorul Arad win~~52%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.352

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pass

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Viitorul Arad are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Viitorul Arad 52%, draw 24%, Timişul Şag 24%. Over 2.5 goals 52%, both teams to score 53%.

The AI’s read on Viitorul Arad v Timişul ŞagBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

Viitorul Arad win52%

Draw24%

Timişul Şag win24%

Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 13:00

RoundGroup 7 · matchday 9

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Viitorul Arad

Timişul Şag

7Days since last match8

Last match: 10 Oct · Liga III - Serie 7

Last match: 9 Oct · Liga III - Serie 7

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
3	Timişul Şag	8	+5	17
7	Viitorul Arad	8	0	12

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · viitorul arad winFirst published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

52% The market–

Us52%

We make Viitorul Arad a 52% chance to win. The model expects 1.7–1.1, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 11%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Viitorul Arad v Timişul Şag~~1.71 – 1.08

~~Form · last six in Liga III - Serie 7 this season · since 11 Sept~~W3 D1 L2 · W4 D1 L1

~~Table places · points 12 v 17~~7 v 3

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Viitorul Arad win	52%	–	–
Draw	24%	–	–
Timişul Şag win	24%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	52%	–	–
Both teams to score	53%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	76%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	31%	–	–
Viitorul Arad or draw	76%	–	–
Viitorul Arad clean sheet	35%	–	–
Timişul Şag clean sheet	19%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 11.2%

0123450 6.9 6.6 3.7 1 10.4 11.2 5.9 2.2 2 8.9 9.1 4.9 3 5.1 5.3 2.8 4 2.3 2.4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Viitorul Arad down, Timişul Şag across0–5 goals a side shown (98.7% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 708 Liga III - Serie 7 matches up to 16 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Liga III - Serie 7 matches have gone over 2.5 in 58.8% of games this season, across 51 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 6 previous meetings since 2024/25 in every competition we cover, 3.17 goals a meeting; 4 of 6 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Viitorul Arad at home: 1.33 scored, 1.17 conceded a game (last 6). Timişul Şag away: 0.67 scored, 1.33 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.71 goals for Viitorul Arad, 1.08 for Timişul Şag. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

6 meetings since 2024/25

~~Goals a meeting~~3.17

~~Over 2.5~~4 of 6

~~Both scored~~4 of 6

~~Last meetings~~VII 3–2 TIM · TIM 2–2 VII · VII 1–2 TIM · TIM 4–1 VII

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Liga III - Serie 7 this season · since 11 Sept

VIITORUL ARAD

WLDWLW1–0 · 1–3 · 1–1 · 3–1 · 0–4 · 4–1

TIMIŞUL ŞAG

WWLWDW1–0 · 3–0 · 0–3 · 1–0 · 0–0 · 2–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Unirea Alba Iulia	9	+20	20
2	CIL Blaj	8	+6	17
3	Timişul Şag	8	+5	17
4	Unirea Sântana	8	+9	15
5	Cetate Deva	9	+7	15
6	Ghiroda şi Giarmata Vii	9	+3	15
7	Viitorul Arad	8	0	12
8	Progresul Pecica	8	−3	10
9	Poli Timisoara 2	9	−11	7
10	Metalurgistul Cugir	8	−4	6
11	Universitatea Alba Iulia	9	−11	4
12	Nera Bogodinţi	9	−21	2