Universitatea Alba Iulia v Unirea Alba Iulia prediction · Liga III

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Universitatea Alba IuliaDrawUnirea Alba Iulia

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 13:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Unirea Alba Iulia 69%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Unirea Alba Iulia are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Universitatea Alba Iulia 13%, draw 18%, Unirea Alba Iulia 69%. Over 2.5 goals 60%, both teams to score 49%.

The AI’s read on Universitatea Alba Iulia v Unirea Alba IuliaBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 24 Oct 00:02 · locked at kick-off

Universitatea Alba Iulia win13%

Draw18%

Unirea Alba Iulia win69%

Kick-offFRI 30 OCT · 13:00

RoundGroup 7 · matchday 11

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Universitatea Alba Iulia

Unirea Alba Iulia

7Days since last match6

Last match: 23 Oct · Liga III - Serie 7

Last match: 24 Oct · Liga III - Serie 7

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · unirea alba iulia winFirst published 24 Oct 00:02 · locked at kick-off

69% The market–

Us69%

We make Unirea Alba Iulia a 69% chance to win. The model expects 0.8–2.3, and 0–2 is the single most likely score at 11%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Universitatea Alba Iulia v Unirea Alba Iulia~~0.83 – 2.31

~~Form · last six in Liga III - Serie 7 this season · since 22 Sept~~W0 D1 L5 · W6 D0 L0

~~Table places · points 4 v 20~~11 v 1

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Universitatea Alba Iulia win	13%	–	–
Draw	18%	–	–
Unirea Alba Iulia win	69%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	60%	–	–
Both teams to score	49%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	81%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	38%	–	–
Universitatea Alba Iulia or draw	31%	–	–
Universitatea Alba Iulia clean sheet	11%	–	–
Unirea Alba Iulia clean sheet	45%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 0–2 at 11.4%

0123450 5.0 10.1 11.4 8.8 5.3 2.71 3.6 8.3 8.8 6.6 3.8 2 3.5 3.8 2.8 3 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Universitatea Alba Iulia down, Unirea Alba Iulia across0–5 goals a side shown (96.0% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 717 Liga III - Serie 7 matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Liga III - Serie 7 matches have gone over 2.5 in 61.7% of games this season, across 60 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: the last 10 meetings in every competition we cover, 2.70 goals a meeting; 6 of 10 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Universitatea Alba Iulia at home: 1.67 scored, 1.50 conceded a game (last 6). Unirea Alba Iulia away: 1.67 scored, 0.83 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

0.83 goals for Universitatea Alba Iulia, 2.31 for Unirea Alba Iulia. Most likely score 0–2.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

Last 10 meetings

~~Goals a meeting~~2.70

~~Over 2.5~~6 of 10

~~Both scored~~4 of 10

~~Last meetings~~Unirea Alba Iulia 3–0 Universitatea Alba Iulia · Universitatea Alba Iulia 0–6 Unirea Alba Iulia · Universitatea Alba Iulia 1–4 Unirea Alba Iulia · Unirea Alba Iulia 2–1 Universitatea Alba Iulia

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Liga III - Serie 7 this season · since 22 Sept

UNIVERSITATEA ALBA IULIA

LLLDLL0–6 · 0–1 · 0–1 · 2–2 · 0–2 · 1–2

UNIREA ALBA IULIA

WWWWWW3–0 · 10–0 · 4–0 · 2–0 · 2–1 · 4–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Unirea Alba Iulia	9	+20	20
2	Timişul Şag	10	+7	20
3	Ghiroda şi Giarmata Vii	10	+6	18
4	CIL Blaj	10	+3	18
5	Unirea Sântana	10	+6	16
6	Cetate Deva	9	+7	15
7	Viitorul Arad	9	+1	15
8	Metalurgistul Cugir	10	−2	12
9	Progresul Pecica	9	−4	10
10	Poli Timisoara 2	9	−11	7
11	Universitatea Alba Iulia	10	−12	4
12	Nera Bogodinţi	9	−21	2