Universitatea Alba Iulia v Ghiroda şi Giarmata Vii prediction · Liga III

Full timeGraded 17 Oct 01:40

Universitatea Alba Iulia 0–2 Ghiroda şi Giarmata Vii UNIVERSITATEA ALBA IULIA WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Universitatea Alba Iulia win~~39%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.619

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pass

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Close to call, with Universitatea Alba Iulia just ahead.

The Pitchside prediction: Universitatea Alba Iulia 39%, draw 25%, Ghiroda şi Giarmata Vii 36%. Over 2.5 goals 56%, both teams to score 58%.

The AI’s read on Universitatea Alba Iulia v Ghiroda şi Giarmata ViiBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 10 Oct 03:49 · locked at kick-off

Universitatea Alba Iulia win39%

Draw25%

Ghiroda şi Giarmata Vii win36%

Kick-offFRI 16 OCT · 13:00

RoundGroup 7 · matchday 9

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Universitatea Alba Iulia

Ghiroda şi Giarmata Vii

7Days since last match7

Last match: 9 Oct · Liga III - Serie 7

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
6	Ghiroda şi Giarmata Vii	8	+1	12
10	Universitatea Alba Iulia	8	−9	4

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · universitatea alba iulia winFirst published 10 Oct 03:49 · locked at kick-off

39% The market–

Us39%

We make Universitatea Alba Iulia a 39% chance to win. The model expects 1.5–1.4, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 11%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Universitatea Alba Iulia v Ghiroda şi Giarmata Vii~~1.50 – 1.44

~~Form · last six in Liga III - Serie 7 this season · since 11 Sept~~W0 D2 L4 · W3 D2 L1

~~Table places · points 4 v 12~~10 v 6

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Universitatea Alba Iulia win	39%	–	–
Draw	25%	–	–
Ghiroda şi Giarmata Vii win	36%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	56%	–	–
Both teams to score	58%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	79%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	34%	–	–
Universitatea Alba Iulia or draw	64%	–	–
Universitatea Alba Iulia clean sheet	25%	–	–
Ghiroda şi Giarmata Vii clean sheet	23%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 11.3%

0123450 6.1 7.5 5.5 2.7 1 7.7 11.3 7.8 3.8 2 6.0 8.2 5.8 2.8 3 3.1 4.2 2.9 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Universitatea Alba Iulia down, Ghiroda şi Giarmata Vii across0–5 goals a side shown (98.8% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 705 Liga III - Serie 7 matches up to 16 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Liga III - Serie 7 matches have gone over 2.5 in 60.4% of games this season, across 48 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 3 previous meetings since 2022/23 in every competition we cover, 3.33 goals a meeting; 2 of 3 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Universitatea Alba Iulia at home: 1.83 scored, 1.33 conceded a game (last 6). Ghiroda şi Giarmata Vii away: 1.00 scored, 2.17 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.50 goals for Universitatea Alba Iulia, 1.44 for Ghiroda şi Giarmata Vii. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

3 meetings since 2022/23

~~Goals a meeting~~3.33

~~Over 2.5~~2 of 3

~~Both scored~~1 of 3

~~Last meetings~~GHI 4–0 UNI · UNI 1–3 GHI · GHI 2–0 UNI

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Liga III - Serie 7 this season · since 11 Sept

UNIVERSITATEA ALBA IULIA

LDLLLD2–3 · 0–0 · 0–6 · 0–1 · 0–1 · 2–2

GHIRODA ŞI GIARMATA VII

DWDWLW0–0 · 2–1 · 1–1 · 1–0 · 1–5 · 5–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Unirea Alba Iulia	8	+19	17
2	CIL Blaj	8	+6	17
3	Timişul Şag	8	+5	17
4	Unirea Sântana	8	+9	15
5	Cetate Deva	8	+8	15
6	Ghiroda şi Giarmata Vii	8	+1	12
7	Viitorul Arad	8	0	12
8	Progresul Pecica	8	−3	10
9	Metalurgistul Cugir	8	−4	6
10	Universitatea Alba Iulia	8	−9	4
11	Poli Timisoara 2	8	−12	4
12	Nera Bogodinţi	8	−20	2