Unirea Sântana v CIL Blaj prediction · Liga III

Full timeGraded 18 Oct 01:51

Unirea Sântana 0–0 CIL Blaj UNIREA SÂNTANA WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · WRONGUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–0 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Unirea Sântana win~~59%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.980

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pass

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Unirea Sântana are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Unirea Sântana 59%, draw 23%, CIL Blaj 18%. Over 2.5 goals 52%, both teams to score 50%.

The AI’s read on Unirea Sântana v CIL BlajBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

Unirea Sântana win59%

Draw23%

CIL Blaj win18%

Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 13:00

RoundGroup 7 · matchday 9

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Unirea Sântana

CIL Blaj

8Days since last match8

Last match: 9 Oct · Liga III - Serie 7

1Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
2	CIL Blaj	8	+6	17
4	Unirea Sântana	8	+9	15

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · unirea sântana winFirst published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

59% The market–

Us59%

We make Unirea Sântana a 59% chance to win. The model expects 1.9–0.9, and 1–0 is the single most likely score at 11%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Unirea Sântana v CIL Blaj~~1.88 – 0.92

~~Form · last six in Liga III - Serie 7 this season · since 12 Sept~~W4 D0 L2 · W3 D2 L1

~~Table places · points 15 v 17~~4 v 2

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Unirea Sântana win	59%	–	–
Draw	23%	–	–
CIL Blaj win	18%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	52%	–	–
Both teams to score	50%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	76%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	31%	–	–
Unirea Sântana or draw	82%	–	–
Unirea Sântana clean sheet	41%	–	–
CIL Blaj clean sheet	16%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 11.4%

0123450 6.9 5.7 2.7 1 11.4 10.5 4.7 2 10.5 9.3 4.3 3 6.6 5.8 2.7 4 3.2 2.8 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Unirea Sântana down, CIL Blaj across0–5 goals a side shown (98.2% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 708 Liga III - Serie 7 matches up to 16 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Liga III - Serie 7 matches have gone over 2.5 in 58.8% of games this season, across 51 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 3 previous meetings since 2025/26 in every competition we cover, 2.33 goals a meeting; 1 of 3 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Unirea Sântana at home: 2.83 scored, 0.50 conceded a game (last 6). CIL Blaj away: 1.33 scored, 1.50 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.88 goals for Unirea Sântana, 0.92 for CIL Blaj. Most likely score 1–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

3 meetings since 2025/26

~~Goals a meeting~~2.33

~~Over 2.5~~1 of 3

~~Both scored~~2 of 3

~~Last meetings~~UNI 1–1 CIL · UNI 2–0 CIL · CIL 1–2 UNI

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Liga III - Serie 7 this season · since 12 Sept

UNIREA SÂNTANA

LWWWWL0–1 · 4–1 · 3–0 · 4–1 · 1–0 · 1–2

CIL BLAJ

WWWDLD2–1 · 3–1 · 2–1 · 5–5 · 1–2 · 2–2

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Unirea Alba Iulia	9	+20	20
2	CIL Blaj	8	+6	17
3	Timişul Şag	8	+5	17
4	Unirea Sântana	8	+9	15
5	Cetate Deva	9	+7	15
6	Ghiroda şi Giarmata Vii	9	+3	15
7	Viitorul Arad	8	0	12
8	Progresul Pecica	8	−3	10
9	Poli Timisoara 2	9	−11	7
10	Metalurgistul Cugir	8	−4	6
11	Universitatea Alba Iulia	9	−11	4
12	Nera Bogodinţi	9	−21	2