Timişul Şag v CIL Blaj prediction · Liga III

Full timeGraded 24 Oct 01:30

Timişul Şag 3–0 CIL Blaj TIMIŞUL ŞAG WIN · RIGHTUNDER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Timişul Şag win~~46%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.435

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Timişul Şag are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Timişul Şag 46%, draw 26%, CIL Blaj 28%. Over 2.5 goals 49%, both teams to score 52%.

The AI’s read on Timişul Şag v CIL BlajBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 17 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

Timişul Şag win46%

Draw26%

CIL Blaj win28%

Kick-offFRI 23 OCT · 13:00

RoundGroup 7 · matchday 10

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Timişul Şag

CIL Blaj

6Days since last match6

Last match: 17 Oct · Liga III - Serie 7

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
2	CIL Blaj	9	+6	18
3	Timişul Şag	9	+4	17

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · timişul şag winFirst published 17 Oct 00:01 · updated 18 Oct 02:11 · locked at kick-off

46% The market–

Us46%

We make Timişul Şag a 46% chance to win. The model expects 1.5–1.1, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 12%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Timişul Şag v CIL Blaj~~1.53 – 1.12

~~Form · last six in Liga III - Serie 7 this season · since 18 Sept~~W3 D1 L2 · W2 D3 L1

~~Table places · points 17 v 18~~3 v 2

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · Timişul Şag win

Published at 48%, 46% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Timişul Şag win	46%	–	–
Draw	26%	–	–
CIL Blaj win	28%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	49%	–	–
Both teams to score	52%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	74%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	28%	–	–
Timişul Şag or draw	72%	–	–
Timişul Şag clean sheet	33%	–	–
CIL Blaj clean sheet	23%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 12.0%

0123450 7.9 7.9 4.5 1 10.6 12.0 6.5 2.5 2 8.2 8.8 4.9 3 4.2 4.5 2.5 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Timişul Şag down, CIL Blaj across0–5 goals a side shown (99.2% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 711 Liga III - Serie 7 matches up to 17 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Liga III - Serie 7 matches have gone over 2.5 in 57.4% of games this season, across 54 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 3 previous meetings since 2024/25 in every competition we cover, 2.00 goals a meeting; 1 of 3 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Timişul Şag at home: 2.17 scored, 1.00 conceded a game (last 6). CIL Blaj away: 1.17 scored, 1.33 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.53 goals for Timişul Şag, 1.12 for CIL Blaj. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

3 meetings since 2024/25

~~Goals a meeting~~2.00

~~Over 2.5~~1 of 3

~~Both scored~~2 of 3

~~Last meetings~~TIM 1–0 CIL · CIL 2–1 TIM · TIM 1–1 CIL

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Liga III - Serie 7 this season · since 18 Sept

TIMIŞUL ŞAG

WLWDWL3–0 · 0–3 · 1–0 · 0–0 · 2–1 · 0–1

CIL BLAJ

WWDLDD3–1 · 2–1 · 5–5 · 1–2 · 2–2 · 0–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Unirea Alba Iulia	9	+20	20
2	CIL Blaj	9	+6	18
3	Timişul Şag	9	+4	17
4	Unirea Sântana	9	+9	16
5	Cetate Deva	9	+7	15
6	Ghiroda şi Giarmata Vii	9	+3	15
7	Viitorul Arad	9	+1	15
8	Progresul Pecica	9	−4	10
9	Metalurgistul Cugir	9	−3	9
10	Poli Timisoara 2	9	−11	7
11	Universitatea Alba Iulia	9	−11	4
12	Nera Bogodinţi	9	−21	2