Poli Timisoara 2 v Timişul Şag prediction · Liga III

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Poli Timisoara 2DrawTimişul Şag

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 13:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Timişul Şag 41%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Timişul Şag are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Poli Timisoara 2 34%, draw 25%, Timişul Şag 41%. Over 2.5 goals 55%, both teams to score 57%.

The AI’s read on Poli Timisoara 2 v Timişul ŞagBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 24 Oct 00:02 · locked at kick-off

Poli Timisoara 2 win34%

Draw25%

Timişul Şag win41%

Kick-offFRI 30 OCT · 13:00

RoundGroup 7 · matchday 11

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Poli Timisoara 2

Timişul Şag

6Days since last match7

Last match: 24 Oct · Liga III - Serie 7

Last match: 23 Oct · Liga III - Serie 7

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
2	Timişul Şag	10	+7	20
10	Poli Timisoara 2	10	−12	7

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · timişul şag winFirst published 24 Oct 00:02 · updated 24 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

41% The market–

Us41%

We make Timişul Şag a 41% chance to win. The model expects 1.4–1.5, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 11%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Poli Timisoara 2 v Timişul Şag~~1.38 – 1.54

~~Form · last six in Liga III - Serie 7 this season · since 22 Sept~~W1 D1 L4 · W3 D1 L2

~~Table places · points 7 v 20~~10 v 2

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · Timişul Şag win

Published at 40%, 41% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Poli Timisoara 2 win	34%	–	–
Draw	25%	–	–
Timişul Şag win	41%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	55%	–	–
Both teams to score	57%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	78%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	34%	–	–
Poli Timisoara 2 or draw	59%	–	–
Poli Timisoara 2 clean sheet	22%	–	–
Timişul Şag clean sheet	26%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 11.3%

0123450 6.1 8.3 6.4 3.4 1 7.4 11.3 8.3 4.3 2 5.2 7.6 5.7 2.9 3 2.5 3.6 2.7 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Poli Timisoara 2 down, Timişul Şag across0–5 goals a side shown (98.8% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 717 Liga III - Serie 7 matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Liga III - Serie 7 matches have gone over 2.5 in 61.7% of games this season, across 60 played.

Head to head

No meeting between these two in any competition we cover since 2026/27.

Home and away form

Poli Timisoara 2 at home: 1.40 scored, 1.80 conceded a game (last 5). Timişul Şag away: 0.50 scored, 1.33 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.38 goals for Poli Timisoara 2, 1.54 for Timişul Şag. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

No meetings since 2026/27

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2026/27.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Liga III - Serie 7 this season · since 22 Sept

POLI TIMISOARA 2

LLDLWL1–2 · 0–1 · 1–1 · 0–2 · 1–0 · 1–2

TIMIŞUL ŞAG

LWDWLW0–3 · 1–0 · 0–0 · 2–1 · 0–1 · 3–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Unirea Alba Iulia	10	+24	23
2	Timişul Şag	10	+7	20
3	Cetate Deva	10	+8	18
4	Ghiroda şi Giarmata Vii	10	+6	18
5	CIL Blaj	10	+3	18
6	Viitorul Arad	10	+2	18
7	Unirea Sântana	10	+6	16
8	Metalurgistul Cugir	10	−2	12
9	Progresul Pecica	10	−8	10
10	Poli Timisoara 2	10	−12	7
11	Universitatea Alba Iulia	10	−12	4
12	Nera Bogodinţi	10	−22	2