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Poli Timisoara 2 v Nera Bogodinţi

Poli Timisoara 2
1–0Full time
Nera Bogodinţi

Liga III - Serie 7 · FRI 16 OCT

Full timeGraded 17 Oct 01:40
Poli Timisoara 2 1–0 Nera Bogodinţi POLI TIMISOARA 2 WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · WRONGOVER 3.5 · WRONG2–1 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Poli Timisoara 2 win65%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.182

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pass
Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Poli Timisoara 2 are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Poli Timisoara 2 65%, draw 18%, Nera Bogodinţi 17%. Over 2.5 goals 70%, both teams to score 61%.

The AI’s read on Poli Timisoara 2 v Nera BogodinţiBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 10 Oct 03:49 · locked at kick-off

Poli Timisoara 2 win65%
Draw18%
Nera Bogodinţi win17%

Kick-offFRI 16 OCT · 13:00

RoundGroup 7 · matchday 9

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Poli Timisoara 2

Nera Bogodinţi

6Days since last match6

Last match: 10 Oct · Liga III - Serie 7

Last match: 10 Oct · Liga III - Serie 7

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#TEAMPGDPTS
11Poli Timisoara 28−124
12Nera Bogodinţi8−202

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · poli timisoara 2 winFirst published 10 Oct 03:49 · updated 11 Oct 04:05 · locked at kick-off
65% The market–
Us65%

We make Poli Timisoara 2 a 65% chance to win. The model expects 2.6–1.2, and 2–1 is the single most likely score at 9%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Poli Timisoara 2 v Nera Bogodinţi2.55 – 1.17
Form · last six in Liga III - Serie 7 this season · since 11 SeptW1 D1 L4 · W0 D1 L5
Table places · points 4 v 211 v 12

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
60%65%70% 10 OCT 03:5816 OCT 12:47
Our probability · Poli Timisoara 2 win

Published at 62%, 65% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Poli Timisoara 2 win65%––
Draw18%––
Nera Bogodinţi win17%––
Over 2.5 goals70%––
Both teams to score61%––
Over 1.5 goals87%––
Over 3.5 goals50%––
Poli Timisoara 2 or draw83%––
Poli Timisoara 2 clean sheet32%––
Nera Bogodinţi clean sheet9%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–1 at 8.6%
0123450 3.3 3.1 1 6.5 7.7 4.4 2 7.8 8.6 5.0 2.0 3 6.3 6.9 4.0 4 4.1 4.4 2.5 5 2.3 2.4
under 2% 5% 12%+Poli Timisoara 2 down, Nera Bogodinţi across0–5 goals a side shown (93.6% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

No meetings since 2026/27

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2026/27.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Liga III - Serie 7 this season · since 11 Sept

POLI TIMISOARA 2

WLLLDL3–2 · 1–4 · 1–2 · 0–1 · 1–1 · 0–2

NERA BOGODINŢI

LLLLDL1–2 · 1–2 · 0–3 · 0–10 · 0–0 · 1–4

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Unirea Alba Iulia8+1917
2CIL Blaj8+617
3Timişul Şag8+517
4Unirea Sântana8+915
5Cetate Deva8+815
6Ghiroda şi Giarmata Vii8+112
7Viitorul Arad8012
8Progresul Pecica8−310
9Metalurgistul Cugir8−46
10Universitatea Alba Iulia8−94
11Poli Timisoara 28−124
12Nera Bogodinţi8−202

The competition's standings before kick-off.