Ghiroda şi Giarmata Vii v Unirea Sântana prediction · Liga III

Full timeGraded 24 Oct 01:30

Ghiroda şi Giarmata Vii 3–0 Unirea Sântana GHIRODA ŞI GIARMATA VII WIN · RIGHTUNDER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Ghiroda şi Giarmata Vii win~~40%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.536

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Ghiroda şi Giarmata Vii are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Ghiroda şi Giarmata Vii 40%, draw 27%, Unirea Sântana 32%. Over 2.5 goals 46%, both teams to score 50%.

The AI’s read on Ghiroda şi Giarmata Vii v Unirea SântanaBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 17 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

Ghiroda şi Giarmata Vii win40%

Draw27%

Unirea Sântana win32%

Kick-offFRI 23 OCT · 13:00

RoundGroup 7 · matchday 10

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Ghiroda şi Giarmata Vii

Unirea Sântana

7Days since last match6

Last match: 16 Oct · Liga III - Serie 7

Last match: 17 Oct · Liga III - Serie 7

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
4	Unirea Sântana	9	+9	16
6	Ghiroda şi Giarmata Vii	9	+3	15

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · ghiroda şi giarmata vii winFirst published 17 Oct 00:01 · updated 17 Oct 01:54 · locked at kick-off

40% The market–

Us40%

We make Ghiroda şi Giarmata Vii a 40% chance to win. The model expects 1.3–1.2, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 12%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Ghiroda şi Giarmata Vii v Unirea Sântana~~1.34 – 1.17

~~Form · last six in Liga III - Serie 7 this season · since 18 Sept~~W4 D1 L1 · W4 D1 L1

~~Table places · points 15 v 16~~6 v 4

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · Ghiroda şi Giarmata Vii win

Published at 39%, 40% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Ghiroda şi Giarmata Vii win	40%	–	–
Draw	27%	–	–
Unirea Sântana win	32%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	46%	–	–
Both teams to score	50%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	71%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	25%	–	–
Ghiroda şi Giarmata Vii or draw	68%	–	–
Ghiroda şi Giarmata Vii clean sheet	32%	–	–
Unirea Sântana clean sheet	27%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 12.5%

0123450 9.0 9.4 5.6 2.3 1 10.6 12.5 7.1 2.9 2 7.2 8.1 4.7 3 3.3 3.7 2.2 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Ghiroda şi Giarmata Vii down, Unirea Sântana across0–5 goals a side shown (99.4% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 711 Liga III - Serie 7 matches up to 17 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Liga III - Serie 7 matches have gone over 2.5 in 57.4% of games this season, across 54 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 3 previous meetings since 2025/26 in every competition we cover, 2.33 goals a meeting; 1 of 3 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Ghiroda şi Giarmata Vii at home: 2.50 scored, 1.00 conceded a game (last 6). Unirea Sântana away: 1.17 scored, 0.83 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.34 goals for Ghiroda şi Giarmata Vii, 1.17 for Unirea Sântana. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

3 meetings since 2025/26

~~Goals a meeting~~2.33

~~Over 2.5~~1 of 3

~~Both scored~~2 of 3

~~Last meetings~~UNI 2–0 GHI · GHI 1–1 UNI · UNI 1–2 GHI

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Liga III - Serie 7 this season · since 18 Sept

GHIRODA ŞI GIARMATA VII

WDWLWW2–1 · 1–1 · 1–0 · 1–5 · 5–0 · 2–0

UNIREA SÂNTANA

WWWWLD4–1 · 3–0 · 4–1 · 1–0 · 1–2 · 0–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Unirea Alba Iulia	9	+20	20
2	CIL Blaj	9	+6	18
3	Timişul Şag	9	+4	17
4	Unirea Sântana	9	+9	16
5	Cetate Deva	9	+7	15
6	Ghiroda şi Giarmata Vii	9	+3	15
7	Viitorul Arad	9	+1	15
8	Progresul Pecica	9	−4	10
9	Metalurgistul Cugir	9	−3	9
10	Poli Timisoara 2	9	−11	7
11	Universitatea Alba Iulia	9	−11	4
12	Nera Bogodinţi	9	−21	2