Cetate Deva v Viitorul Arad prediction · Liga III

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Cetate DevaDrawViitorul Arad

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 13:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Cetate Deva 58%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Cetate Deva are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Cetate Deva 58%, draw 20%, Viitorul Arad 21%. Over 2.5 goals 65%, both teams to score 61%.

The AI’s read on Cetate Deva v Viitorul AradBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 24 Oct 00:02 · locked at kick-off

Cetate Deva win58%

Draw20%

Viitorul Arad win21%

Kick-offFRI 30 OCT · 13:00

RoundGroup 7 · matchday 11

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Cetate Deva

Viitorul Arad

6Days since last match6

Last match: 24 Oct · Liga III - Serie 7

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
3	Cetate Deva	10	+8	18
6	Viitorul Arad	10	+2	18

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · cetate deva winFirst published 24 Oct 00:02 · locked at kick-off

58% The market–

Us58%

We make Cetate Deva a 58% chance to win. The model expects 2.2–1.2, and 2–1 is the single most likely score at 9%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Cetate Deva v Viitorul Arad~~2.20 – 1.23

~~Form · last six in Liga III - Serie 7 this season · since 22 Sept~~W3 D1 L2 · W4 D1 L1

~~Table places · points 18 v 18~~3 v 6

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Cetate Deva win	58%	–	–
Draw	20%	–	–
Viitorul Arad win	21%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	65%	–	–
Both teams to score	61%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	85%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	44%	–	–
Cetate Deva or draw	79%	–	–
Cetate Deva clean sheet	30%	–	–
Viitorul Arad clean sheet	12%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–1 at 9.0%

0123450 4.0 4.2 2.7 1 7.3 8.9 5.3 2.3 2 7.8 9.0 5.5 2.3 3 5.6 6.5 3.9 4 3.2 3.6 2.2 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Cetate Deva down, Viitorul Arad across0–5 goals a side shown (96.4% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 717 Liga III - Serie 7 matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Liga III - Serie 7 matches have gone over 2.5 in 61.7% of games this season, across 60 played.

Head to head

No meeting between these two in any competition we cover since 2024/25.

Home and away form

Cetate Deva at home: 2.00 scored, 2.00 conceded a game (last 6). Viitorul Arad away: 1.83 scored, 1.67 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

2.20 goals for Cetate Deva, 1.23 for Viitorul Arad. Most likely score 2–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

No meetings since 2024/25

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2024/25.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Liga III - Serie 7 this season · since 22 Sept

CETATE DEVA

LDWWLW0–3 · 5–5 · 5–1 · 2–0 · 1–2 · 2–1

VIITORUL ARAD

DWLWWW1–1 · 3–1 · 0–4 · 4–1 · 1–0 · 2–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Unirea Alba Iulia	10	+24	23
2	Timişul Şag	10	+7	20
3	Cetate Deva	10	+8	18
4	Ghiroda şi Giarmata Vii	10	+6	18
5	CIL Blaj	10	+3	18
6	Viitorul Arad	10	+2	18
7	Unirea Sântana	10	+6	16
8	Metalurgistul Cugir	10	−2	12
9	Progresul Pecica	10	−8	10
10	Poli Timisoara 2	10	−12	7
11	Universitatea Alba Iulia	10	−12	4
12	Nera Bogodinţi	10	−22	2