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Vulturii Fărcăşeşti v Petrolul Hartiesti

Vulturii Fărcăşeşti

3–0Full time

Petrolul Hartiesti

Liga III - Serie 6 · SAT 10 OCT

Full timeGraded 11 Oct 01:30

Vulturii Fărcăşeşti 3–0 Petrolul Hartiesti VULTURII FĂRCĂŞEŞTI WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTOVER 3.5 · WRONG4–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Vulturii Fărcăşeşti win~~85%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.035

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

Vulturii Fărcăşeşti win85%

Draw8%

Petrolul Hartiesti win7%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

SAT 10 OCT · 13:00

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · vulturii fărcăşeşti winPublished 10 Oct 23:45

85% The market–

Us85%

We make Vulturii Fărcăşeşti a 85% chance to win. The model expects 4.2–1.2, and 4–1 is the single most likely score at 6%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Vulturii Fărcăşeşti win	85%	–	–
Draw	8%	–	–
Petrolul Hartiesti win	7%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	90%	–	–
Both teams to score	69%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	97%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	78%	–	–
Vulturii Fărcăşeşti or draw	93%	–	–
Vulturii Fărcăşeşti clean sheet	30%	–	–
Petrolul Hartiesti clean sheet	2%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 4–1 at 6.3%

0123450 1 2.1 2.6 2 4.1 4.8 3.0 3 5.3 6.3 3.8 4 5.3 6.3 3.9 5 4.5 5.2 3.2

under 2% 5% 12%+Vulturii Fărcăşeşti down, Petrolul Hartiesti across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 708 Liga III - Serie 6 matches up to 10 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Liga III - Serie 6 matches have gone over 2.5 in 50.0% of games this season, across 44 played.

Head to head

No previous meeting in our records, so this step adds nothing.

Home and away form

Vulturii Fărcăşeşti at home: 2.17 scored, 1.00 conceded a game (last 6). Petrolul Hartiesti away: 0.50 scored, 3.75 conceded (last 4).

What the model expects

4.24 goals for Vulturii Fărcăşeşti, 1.24 for Petrolul Hartiesti. Most likely score 4–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

0 meetings since 2020

No previous meeting of these two in our records. We say so rather than invent one.

Form · last six in Liga III - Serie 6

VULTURII FĂRCĂŞEŞTI

WLDLWL3–1 · 2–4 · 2–2 · 2–3 · 2–1 · 2–3

PETROLUL HARTIESTI

LLLLLL0–1 · 0–5 · 2–3 · 0–6 · 0–5 · 1–6

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Minerul Lupeni	8	+7	18
2	CSM Targu Jiu	8	+9	17
3	CS Drobeta-Turnu Severin	7	+10	16
4	CS U Craiova II	7	+5	12
5	Jiul Petroşani	7	+3	11
6	Filiaşi	8	−1	11
7	Unirea Bascov	8	+2	9
8	Păușești	7	0	8
9	Vulturii Fărcăşeşti	7	−1	8
10	Academica Balș	7	−2	6
11	Oltul Curtişoara	7	−7	6
12	Petrolul Hartiesti	7	−25	0