Vulturii Fărcăşeşti v Jiul Petroşani prediction · Liga III

Full timeGraded 25 Oct 01:42

Vulturii Fărcăşeşti 0–0 Jiul Petroşani VULTURII FĂRCĂŞEŞTI WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · WRONGUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Vulturii Fărcăşeşti win~~44%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.904

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Vulturii Fărcăşeşti are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Vulturii Fărcăşeşti 44%, draw 23%, Jiul Petroşani 33%. Over 2.5 goals 64%, both teams to score 64%.

The AI’s read on Vulturii Fărcăşeşti v Jiul PetroşaniBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

Vulturii Fărcăşeşti win44%

Draw23%

Jiul Petroşani win33%

Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 13:00

RoundGroup 6 · matchday 10

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Vulturii Fărcăşeşti

Jiul Petroşani

8Days since last match7

Last match: 16 Oct · Liga III - Serie 6

Last match: 17 Oct · Liga III - Serie 6

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
6	Jiul Petroşani	9	+2	14
9	Vulturii Fărcăşeşti	9	+1	11

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · vulturii fărcăşeşti winFirst published 18 Oct 01:23 · updated 18 Oct 02:11 · locked at kick-off

44% The market–

Us44%

We make Vulturii Fărcăşeşti a 44% chance to win. The model expects 1.8–1.6, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 10%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Vulturii Fărcăşeşti v Jiul Petroşani~~1.81 – 1.55

~~Form · last six in Liga III - Serie 6 this season · since 19 Sept~~W2 D1 L3 · W4 D1 L1

~~Table places · points 11 v 14~~9 v 6

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · Vulturii Fărcăşeşti win

Published at 46%, 44% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Vulturii Fărcăşeşti win	44%	–	–
Draw	23%	–	–
Jiul Petroşani win	33%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	64%	–	–
Both teams to score	64%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	84%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	43%	–	–
Vulturii Fărcăşeşti or draw	67%	–	–
Vulturii Fărcăşeşti clean sheet	22%	–	–
Jiul Petroşani clean sheet	17%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 9.7%

0123450 4.1 5.5 4.3 2.2 1 6.4 9.7 7.2 3.8 2 5.7 8.4 6.4 3.3 3 3.5 5.1 3.9 2.0 4 2.4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Vulturii Fărcăşeşti down, Jiul Petroşani across0–5 goals a side shown (97.9% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 721 Liga III - Serie 6 matches up to 23 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Liga III - Serie 6 matches have gone over 2.5 in 52.6% of games this season, across 57 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 6 previous meetings since 2024/25 in every competition we cover, 3.00 goals a meeting; 3 of 6 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Vulturii Fărcăşeşti at home: 2.17 scored, 0.83 conceded a game (last 6). Jiul Petroşani away: 0.83 scored, 1.83 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.81 goals for Vulturii Fărcăşeşti, 1.55 for Jiul Petroşani. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

6 meetings since 2024/25

~~Goals a meeting~~3.00

~~Over 2.5~~3 of 6

~~Both scored~~3 of 6

~~Last meetings~~JIU 5–0 VUL · VUL 2–2 JIU · JIU 3–2 VUL · VUL 0–0 JIU

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Liga III - Serie 6 this season · since 19 Sept

VULTURII FĂRCĂŞEŞTI

DLWLWL2–2 · 2–3 · 2–1 · 2–3 · 3–0 · 0–1

JIUL PETROŞANI

WWWDLW1–0 · 2–0 · 5–0 · 1–1 · 1–4 · 2–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	CS Drobeta-Turnu Severin	10	+19	25
2	Minerul Lupeni	10	+4	19
3	CSM Targu Jiu	10	+7	18
4	CS U Craiova II	10	+6	16
5	Filiaşi	10	+2	15
6	Jiul Petroşani	9	+2	14
7	Unirea Bascov	9	+3	12
8	Oltul Curtişoara	9	−5	12
9	Vulturii Fărcăşeşti	9	+1	11
10	Păușești	9	−4	9
11	Academica Balș	9	−3	7
12	Petrolul Hartiesti	10	−32	0