Petrolul Hartiesti v Oltul Curtişoara prediction · Liga III

Full timeGraded 18 Oct 01:51

Petrolul Hartiesti 1–2 Oltul Curtişoara OLTUL CURTIŞOARA WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Oltul Curtişoara win~~50%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.372

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pass

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Oltul Curtişoara are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Petrolul Hartiesti 29%, draw 21%, Oltul Curtişoara 50%. Over 2.5 goals 69%, both teams to score 67%.

The AI’s read on Petrolul Hartiesti v Oltul CurtişoaraBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

Petrolul Hartiesti win29%

Draw21%

Oltul Curtişoara win50%

Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 13:00

RoundGroup 6 · matchday 9

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Petrolul Hartiesti

Oltul Curtişoara

7Days since last match7

Last match: 10 Oct · Liga III - Serie 6

1Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
9	Oltul Curtişoara	8	−6	9
12	Petrolul Hartiesti	8	−28	0

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · oltul curtişoara winFirst published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

50% The market–

Us50%

We make Oltul Curtişoara a 50% chance to win. The model expects 1.5–2.1, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 8%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Petrolul Hartiesti v Oltul Curtişoara~~1.55 – 2.12

~~Form · last six in Liga III - Serie 6 this season · since 11 Sept~~W0 D0 L6 · W3 D0 L3

~~Table places · points 0 v 9~~12 v 9

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Petrolul Hartiesti win	29%	–	–
Draw	21%	–	–
Oltul Curtişoara win	50%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	69%	–	–
Both teams to score	67%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	87%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	49%	–	–
Petrolul Hartiesti or draw	50%	–	–
Petrolul Hartiesti clean sheet	13%	–	–
Oltul Curtişoara clean sheet	23%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 8.4%

0123450 3.1 5.8 5.8 4.0 2.2 1 4.3 8.4 8.3 5.8 3.2 2 3.3 6.3 6.3 4.3 2.4 3 3.3 3.3 2.3 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Petrolul Hartiesti down, Oltul Curtişoara across0–5 goals a side shown (96.2% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 715 Liga III - Serie 6 matches up to 16 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Liga III - Serie 6 matches have gone over 2.5 in 52.9% of games this season, across 51 played.

Head to head

No meeting between these two in any competition we cover since 2026/27.

Home and away form

Petrolul Hartiesti at home: 0.33 scored, 4.33 conceded a game (last 3). Oltul Curtişoara away: 1.50 scored, 1.83 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.55 goals for Petrolul Hartiesti, 2.12 for Oltul Curtişoara. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

No meetings since 2026/27

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2026/27.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Liga III - Serie 6 this season · since 11 Sept

PETROLUL HARTIESTI

LLLLLL0–5 · 2–3 · 0–6 · 0–5 · 1–6 · 0–3

OLTUL CURTIŞOARA

LLWWLW1–4 · 1–3 · 1–0 · 2–0 · 0–2 · 2–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	CS Drobeta-Turnu Severin	9	+16	22
2	Minerul Lupeni	8	+7	18
3	CSM Targu Jiu	8	+9	17
4	CS U Craiova II	9	+6	15
5	Unirea Bascov	9	+3	12
6	Filiaşi	9	−1	12
7	Vulturii Fărcăşeşti	9	+1	11
8	Jiul Petroşani	8	0	11
9	Oltul Curtişoara	8	−6	9
10	Păușești	8	−4	8
11	Academica Balș	9	−3	7
12	Petrolul Hartiesti	8	−28	0