Jiul Petroşani v Oltul Curtişoara prediction · Liga III

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Jiul PetroşaniDrawOltul Curtişoara

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 13:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Jiul Petroşani 63%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Jiul Petroşani are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Jiul Petroşani 63%, draw 20%, Oltul Curtişoara 17%. Over 2.5 goals 60%, both teams to score 54%.

The AI’s read on Jiul Petroşani v Oltul CurtişoaraBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 24 Oct 00:02 · locked at kick-off

Jiul Petroşani win63%

Draw20%

Oltul Curtişoara win17%

Kick-offFRI 30 OCT · 13:00

RoundGroup 6 · matchday 11

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Jiul Petroşani

Oltul Curtişoara

13Days since last match13

Last match: 17 Oct · Liga III - Serie 6

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
6	Jiul Petroşani	9	+2	14
8	Oltul Curtişoara	9	−5	12

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · jiul petroşani winFirst published 24 Oct 00:02 · locked at kick-off

63% The market–

Us63%

We make Jiul Petroşani a 63% chance to win. The model expects 2.2–1.0, and 2–0 is the single most likely score at 10%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Jiul Petroşani v Oltul Curtişoara~~2.16 – 0.98

~~Form · last six in Liga III - Serie 6 this season · since 19 Sept~~W4 D1 L1 · W4 D0 L2

~~Table places · points 14 v 12~~6 v 8

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Jiul Petroşani win	63%	–	–
Draw	20%	–	–
Oltul Curtişoara win	17%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	60%	–	–
Both teams to score	54%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	81%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	38%	–	–
Jiul Petroşani or draw	83%	–	–
Jiul Petroşani clean sheet	39%	–	–
Oltul Curtişoara clean sheet	13%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–0 at 9.9%

0123450 5.1 4.4 2.3 1 9.5 9.2 4.5 2 9.9 9.3 4.6 3 7.0 6.5 3.2 4 3.9 3.6 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Jiul Petroşani down, Oltul Curtişoara across0–5 goals a side shown (96.8% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 721 Liga III - Serie 6 matches up to 23 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Liga III - Serie 6 matches have gone over 2.5 in 52.6% of games this season, across 57 played.

Head to head

No meeting between these two in any competition we cover since 2023/24.

Home and away form

Jiul Petroşani at home: 2.83 scored, 0.50 conceded a game (last 6). Oltul Curtişoara away: 1.17 scored, 1.67 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

2.16 goals for Jiul Petroşani, 0.98 for Oltul Curtişoara. Most likely score 2–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

No meetings since 2023/24

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2023/24.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Liga III - Serie 6 this season · since 19 Sept

JIUL PETROŞANI

WWWDLW1–0 · 2–0 · 5–0 · 1–1 · 1–4 · 2–0

OLTUL CURTIŞOARA

LWWLWW1–3 · 1–0 · 2–0 · 0–2 · 2–1 · 2–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	CS Drobeta-Turnu Severin	10	+19	25
2	Minerul Lupeni	10	+4	19
3	CSM Targu Jiu	10	+7	18
4	CS U Craiova II	10	+6	16
5	Filiaşi	10	+2	15
6	Jiul Petroşani	9	+2	14
7	Unirea Bascov	9	+3	12
8	Oltul Curtişoara	9	−5	12
9	Vulturii Fărcăşeşti	9	+1	11
10	Păușești	9	−4	9
11	Academica Balș	9	−3	7
12	Petrolul Hartiesti	10	−32	0