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Filiaşi v Minerul Lupeni

Filiaşi

0–1Full time

Minerul Lupeni

Liga III - Serie 6 · FRI 9 OCT

Full timeGraded 10 Oct 01:30

Filiaşi 0–1 Minerul Lupeni FILIAŞI WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · WRONGUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Filiaşi win~~39%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.640

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

Filiaşi win39%

Draw26%

Minerul Lupeni win35%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

FRI 9 OCT · 13:00

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · filiaşi winPublished 9 Oct 23:31

39% The market–

Us39%

We make Filiaşi a 39% chance to win. The model expects 1.4–1.3, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 12%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Filiaşi win	39%	–	–
Draw	26%	–	–
Minerul Lupeni win	35%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	50%	–	–
Both teams to score	53%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	74%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	29%	–	–
Filiaşi or draw	65%	–	–
Filiaşi clean sheet	29%	–	–
Minerul Lupeni clean sheet	26%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 11.9%

0123450 7.8 8.8 5.8 2.6 1 9.4 11.9 7.5 3.4 2 6.5 7.9 5.1 2.3 3 3.1 3.8 2.4 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Filiaşi down, Minerul Lupeni across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 706 Liga III - Serie 6 matches up to 9 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Liga III - Serie 6 matches have gone over 2.5 in 52.4% of games this season, across 42 played.

Head to head

No previous meeting in our records, so this step adds nothing.

Home and away form

Filiaşi at home: 3.00 scored, 1.17 conceded a game (last 6). Minerul Lupeni away: 0.83 scored, 1.67 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.39 goals for Filiaşi, 1.30 for Minerul Lupeni. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

0 meetings since 2020

No previous meeting of these two in our records. We say so rather than invent one.

Form · last six in Liga III - Serie 6

FILIAŞI

LWWDDL1–3 · 4–2 · 3–1 · 2–2 · 1–1 · 0–3

MINERUL LUPENI

WWLWLW1–0 · 3–0 · 0–1 · 1–0 · 1–2 · 2–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	CS Drobeta-Turnu Severin	7	+10	16
2	Minerul Lupeni	7	+6	15
3	CSM Targu Jiu	7	+8	14
4	CS U Craiova II	7	+5	12
5	Jiul Petroşani	7	+3	11
6	Filiaşi	7	0	11
7	Unirea Bascov	7	+3	9
8	Păușești	7	0	8
9	Vulturii Fărcăşeşti	7	−1	8
10	Academica Balș	7	−2	6
11	Oltul Curtişoara	7	−7	6
12	Petrolul Hartiesti	7	−25	0