CS U Craiova II v CSM Targu Jiu prediction · Liga III

Full timeGraded 24 Oct 01:30

CS U Craiova II 0–0 CSM Targu Jiu CS U CRAIOVA II WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · WRONGUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said CS U Craiova II win~~50%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.912

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

CS U Craiova II are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: CS U Craiova II 50%, draw 23%, CSM Targu Jiu 26%. Over 2.5 goals 57%, both teams to score 57%.

The AI’s read on CS U Craiova II v CSM Targu JiuBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 17 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

CS U Craiova II win50%

Draw23%

CSM Targu Jiu win26%

Kick-offFRI 23 OCT · 13:00

RoundGroup 6 · matchday 10

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

CS U Craiova II

CSM Targu Jiu

7Days since last match6

Last match: 16 Oct · Liga III - Serie 6

Last match: 17 Oct · Liga III - Serie 6

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
3	CSM Targu Jiu	9	+7	17
4	CS U Craiova II	9	+6	15

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · cs u craiova ii winFirst published 17 Oct 00:01 · updated 18 Oct 02:11 · locked at kick-off

50% The market–

Us50%

We make CS U Craiova II a 50% chance to win. The model expects 1.8–1.2, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 11%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · CS U Craiova II v CSM Targu Jiu~~1.79 – 1.21

~~Form · last six in Liga III - Serie 6 this season · since 18 Sept~~W2 D2 L2 · W3 D1 L2

~~Table places · points 15 v 17~~4 v 3

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · CS U Craiova II win

Our number has not moved since we published.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
CS U Craiova II win	50%	–	–
Draw	23%	–	–
CSM Targu Jiu win	26%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	57%	–	–
Both teams to score	57%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	79%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	35%	–	–
CS U Craiova II or draw	74%	–	–
CS U Craiova II clean sheet	31%	–	–
CSM Targu Jiu clean sheet	18%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 10.6%

0123450 5.7 6.2 3.8 1 9.0 10.6 6.3 2.6 2 7.9 9.0 5.4 2.3 3 4.7 5.4 3.2 4 2.2 2.5 5

under 2% 5% 12%+CS U Craiova II down, CSM Targu Jiu across0–5 goals a side shown (98.3% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 718 Liga III - Serie 6 matches up to 17 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Liga III - Serie 6 matches have gone over 2.5 in 51.9% of games this season, across 54 played.

Head to head

No meeting between these two in any competition we cover since 2025/26.

Home and away form

CS U Craiova II at home: 2.33 scored, 1.50 conceded a game (last 6). CSM Targu Jiu away: 2.00 scored, 1.17 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.79 goals for CS U Craiova II, 1.21 for CSM Targu Jiu. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

No meetings since 2025/26

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2025/26.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Liga III - Serie 6 this season · since 18 Sept

CS U CRAIOVA II

WDDLWL3–2 · 2–2 · 1–1 · 0–1 · 4–1 · 1–3

CSM TARGU JIU

DLWWWL1–1 · 0–1 · 1–0 · 6–1 · 1–0 · 0–2

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	CS Drobeta-Turnu Severin	9	+16	22
2	Minerul Lupeni	9	+7	19
3	CSM Targu Jiu	9	+7	17
4	CS U Craiova II	9	+6	15
5	Jiul Petroşani	9	+2	14
6	Unirea Bascov	9	+3	12
7	Filiaşi	9	−1	12
8	Oltul Curtişoara	9	−5	12
9	Vulturii Fărcăşeşti	9	+1	11
10	Păușești	9	−4	9
11	Academica Balș	9	−3	7
12	Petrolul Hartiesti	9	−29	0