Academica Balș v CS Drobeta-Turnu Severin prediction · Liga III

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Academica BalșDrawCS Drobeta-Turnu Severin

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 13:00

Before kick-off · Match result · CS Drobeta-Turnu Severin 51%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

CS Drobeta-Turnu Severin are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Academica Balș 26%, draw 23%, CS Drobeta-Turnu Severin 51%. Over 2.5 goals 59%, both teams to score 59%.

The AI’s read on Academica Balș v CS Drobeta-Turnu SeverinBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 24 Oct 00:02 · locked at kick-off

Academica Balș win26%

Draw23%

CS Drobeta-Turnu Severin win51%

Kick-offFRI 30 OCT · 13:00

RoundGroup 6 · matchday 11

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Academica Balș

CS Drobeta-Turnu Severin

14Days since last match7

Last match: 16 Oct · Liga III - Serie 6

Last match: 23 Oct · Liga III - Serie 6

1Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · cs drobeta-turnu severin winFirst published 24 Oct 00:02 · updated 24 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

51% The market–

Us51%

We make CS Drobeta-Turnu Severin a 51% chance to win. The model expects 1.3–1.9, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 10%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Academica Balș v CS Drobeta-Turnu Severin~~1.25 – 1.86

~~Form · last six in Liga III - Serie 6 this season · since 18 Sept~~W1 D1 L4 · W5 D0 L1

~~Table places · points 7 v 25~~11 v 1

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · CS Drobeta-Turnu Severin win

Published at 48%, 51% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Academica Balș win	26%	–	–
Draw	23%	–	–
CS Drobeta-Turnu Severin win	51%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	59%	–	–
Both teams to score	59%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	81%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	38%	–	–
Academica Balș or draw	49%	–	–
Academica Balș clean sheet	17%	–	–
CS Drobeta-Turnu Severin clean sheet	30%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 10.3%

0123450 5.2 8.3 7.6 4.7 2.3 1 5.7 10.3 9.0 5.5 2.7 2 3.7 6.3 5.6 3.4 3 2.7 2.4 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Academica Balș down, CS Drobeta-Turnu Severin across0–5 goals a side shown (97.9% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 721 Liga III - Serie 6 matches up to 23 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Liga III - Serie 6 matches have gone over 2.5 in 52.6% of games this season, across 57 played.

Head to head

No meeting between these two in any competition we cover since 2026/27.

Home and away form

Academica Balș at home: 2.25 scored, 1.25 conceded a game (last 4). CS Drobeta-Turnu Severin away: 1.75 scored, 0.75 conceded (last 4).

What the model expects

1.25 goals for Academica Balș, 1.86 for CS Drobeta-Turnu Severin. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

No meetings since 2026/27

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2026/27.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Liga III - Serie 6 this season · since 18 Sept

ACADEMICA BALȘ

LLLWLD1–3 · 0–2 · 0–1 · 3–2 · 1–2 · 1–1

CS DROBETA-TURNU SEVERIN

WLWWWW3–2 · 0–2 · 3–0 · 4–0 · 3–1 · 3–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	CS Drobeta-Turnu Severin	10	+19	25
2	Minerul Lupeni	10	+4	19
3	CSM Targu Jiu	10	+7	18
4	CS U Craiova II	10	+6	16
5	Filiaşi	10	+2	15
6	Jiul Petroşani	9	+2	14
7	Unirea Bascov	9	+3	12
8	Oltul Curtişoara	9	−5	12
9	Vulturii Fărcăşeşti	9	+1	11
10	Păușești	9	−4	9
11	Academica Balș	9	−3	7
12	Petrolul Hartiesti	10	−32	0