Voluntari II v FCSB II prediction · Liga III

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Voluntari IIDrawFCSB II

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 13:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Voluntari II 49%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Voluntari II are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Voluntari II 49%, draw 18%, FCSB II 34%. Over 2.5 goals 75%, both teams to score 71%.

The AI’s read on Voluntari II v FCSB IIBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 24 Oct 00:02 · locked at kick-off

Voluntari II win49%

Draw18%

FCSB II win34%

Kick-offFRI 30 OCT · 13:00

RoundGroup 5 · matchday 11

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Voluntari II

FCSB II

6Days since last match7

Last match: 24 Oct · Liga III - Serie 5

Last match: 23 Oct · Liga III - Serie 5

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
10	FCSB II	10	−6	10
11	Voluntari II	9	−4	8

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · voluntari ii winFirst published 24 Oct 00:02 · updated 24 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

49% The market–

Us49%

We make Voluntari II a 49% chance to win. The model expects 2.2–1.8, and 2–1 is the single most likely score at 8%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Voluntari II v FCSB II~~2.20 – 1.80

~~Form · last six in Liga III - Serie 5 this season · since 22 Sept~~W2 D1 L3 · W2 D1 L3

~~Table places · points 8 v 10~~11 v 10

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · Voluntari II win

Published at 55%, 49% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Voluntari II win	49%	–	–
Draw	18%	–	–
FCSB II win	34%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	75%	–	–
Both teams to score	71%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	89%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	56%	–	–
Voluntari II or draw	66%	–	–
Voluntari II clean sheet	18%	–	–
FCSB II clean sheet	12%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–1 at 7.7%

0123450 4.7 3.1 1 5.5 6.3 6.3 3.8 2 4.6 7.7 6.6 4.0 3 3.3 5.5 4.8 2.9 4 3.1 2.7 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Voluntari II down, FCSB II across0–5 goals a side shown (95.4% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 697 Liga III - Serie 5 matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Liga III - Serie 5 matches have gone over 2.5 in 56.7% of games this season, across 60 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 5 previous meetings since 2020/21 in every competition we cover, 4.00 goals a meeting; 4 of 5 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Voluntari II at home: 0.75 scored, 1.75 conceded a game (last 4). FCSB II away: 1.25 scored, 3.50 conceded (last 4).

What the model expects

2.20 goals for Voluntari II, 1.80 for FCSB II. Most likely score 2–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

5 meetings since 2020/21

~~Goals a meeting~~4.00

~~Over 2.5~~4 of 5

~~Both scored~~5 of 5

~~Last meetings~~FCS 3–2 VOL · FCS 3–1 VOL · VOL 2–2 FCS · FCS 1–1 VOL

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Liga III - Serie 5 this season · since 22 Sept

VOLUNTARI II

LWLWDL2–3 · 2–1 · 0–2 · 2–1 · 1–1 · 3–5

FCSB II

LLLDWW1–3 · 1–2 · 1–2 · 2–2 · 5–2 · 6–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Omega Sport	9	+6	21
2	LPS HD Clinceni	10	+11	20
3	Alexandria	10	+4	18
4	Dunărea 2020 Giurgiu	9	+8	17
5	Dinamo Bucureşti II	9	−3	12
6	Progresul Mogosoaia	9	−4	12
7	Axi Adunații-Copăceni	10	−10	12
8	Cetatea	9	+6	10
9	Oxigen Bucuresti	9	−5	10
10	FCSB II	10	−6	10
11	Voluntari II	9	−4	8
12	Progresul Spartac	9	−3	6