Dinamo Bucureşti II v Dunărea 2020 Giurgiu prediction · Liga III

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Dinamo Bucureşti IIDrawDunărea 2020 Giurgiu

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 13:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Dinamo Bucureşti II 40%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Close to call, with Dinamo Bucureşti II just ahead.

The Pitchside prediction: Dinamo Bucureşti II 40%, draw 21%, Dunărea 2020 Giurgiu 39%. Over 2.5 goals 55%, both teams to score 56%.

The AI’s read on Dinamo Bucureşti II v Dunărea 2020 GiurgiuBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 24 Oct 00:02 · locked at kick-off

Dinamo Bucureşti II win40%

Draw21%

Dunărea 2020 Giurgiu win39%

Kick-offFRI 30 OCT · 13:00

RoundGroup 5 · matchday 11

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Dinamo Bucureşti II

Dunărea 2020 Giurgiu

6Days since last match6

Last match: 24 Oct · Liga III - Serie 5

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
4	Dunărea 2020 Giurgiu	9	+8	17
5	Dinamo Bucureşti II	9	−3	12

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · dinamo bucureşti ii winFirst published 24 Oct 00:02 · updated 25 Oct 01:00 · locked at kick-off

40% The market–

Us40%

We make Dinamo Bucureşti II a 40% chance to win. The model expects 1.5–1.5, and 1–0 is the single most likely score at 10%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Dinamo Bucureşti II v Dunărea 2020 Giurgiu~~1.47 – 1.46

~~Form · last six in Liga III - Serie 5 this season · since 22 Sept~~W1 D0 L5 · W3 D3 L0

~~Table places · points 12 v 17~~5 v 4

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · Dinamo Bucureşti II win

Published at 42%, 40% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Dinamo Bucureşti II win	40%	–	–
Draw	21%	–	–
Dunărea 2020 Giurgiu win	39%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	55%	–	–
Both teams to score	56%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	77%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	34%	–	–
Dinamo Bucureşti II or draw	61%	–	–
Dinamo Bucureşti II clean sheet	24%	–	–
Dunărea 2020 Giurgiu clean sheet	24%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 9.7%

0123450 4.1 9.6 5.7 2.8 1 9.7 9.6 8.0 3.9 2 5.8 8.0 5.7 2.8 3 2.9 4.0 2.9 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Dinamo Bucureşti II down, Dunărea 2020 Giurgiu across0–5 goals a side shown (98.9% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 697 Liga III - Serie 5 matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Liga III - Serie 5 matches have gone over 2.5 in 56.7% of games this season, across 60 played.

Head to head

No meeting between these two in any competition we cover since 2023/24.

Home and away form

Dinamo Bucureşti II at home: 1.00 scored, 1.75 conceded a game (last 4). Dunărea 2020 Giurgiu away: 2.00 scored, 1.33 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.47 goals for Dinamo Bucureşti II, 1.46 for Dunărea 2020 Giurgiu. Most likely score 1–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

No meetings since 2023/24

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2023/24.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Liga III - Serie 5 this season · since 22 Sept

DINAMO BUCUREŞTI II

LLLLWL1–3 · 1–5 · 1–2 · 0–1 · 2–0 · 0–2

DUNĂREA 2020 GIURGIU

WDDDWW1–0 · 1–1 · 1–1 · 2–2 · 3–0 · 5–3

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Omega Sport	9	+6	21
2	LPS HD Clinceni	10	+11	20
3	Alexandria	10	+4	18
4	Dunărea 2020 Giurgiu	9	+8	17
5	Dinamo Bucureşti II	9	−3	12
6	Progresul Mogosoaia	9	−4	12
7	Axi Adunații-Copăceni	10	−10	12
8	Cetatea	9	+6	10
9	Oxigen Bucuresti	9	−5	10
10	FCSB II	10	−6	10
11	Voluntari II	9	−4	8
12	Progresul Spartac	9	−3	6