Axi Adunații-Copăceni v Dunărea 2020 Giurgiu prediction · Liga III

Full timeGraded 17 Oct 01:40

Axi Adunații-Copăceni 0–3 Dunărea 2020 Giurgiu DUNĂREA 2020 GIURGIU WIN · RIGHTUNDER 2.5 · WRONGNOT BOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT0–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Dunărea 2020 Giurgiu win~~43%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.498

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pass

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Dunărea 2020 Giurgiu are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Axi Adunații-Copăceni 35%, draw 22%, Dunărea 2020 Giurgiu 43%. Over 2.5 goals 47%, both teams to score 49%.

The AI’s read on Axi Adunații-Copăceni v Dunărea 2020 GiurgiuBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 10 Oct 03:49 · locked at kick-off

Axi Adunații-Copăceni win35%

Draw22%

Dunărea 2020 Giurgiu win43%

Kick-offFRI 16 OCT · 13:00

RoundGroup 5 · matchday 9

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Axi Adunații-Copăceni

Dunărea 2020 Giurgiu

6Days since last match6

Last match: 10 Oct · Liga III - Serie 5

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
4	Dunărea 2020 Giurgiu	8	+5	14
6	Axi Adunații-Copăceni	8	−1	12

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · dunărea 2020 giurgiu winFirst published 10 Oct 03:49 · updated 11 Oct 04:05 · locked at kick-off

43% The market–

Us43%

We make Dunărea 2020 Giurgiu a 43% chance to win. The model expects 1.2–1.4, and 0–1 is the single most likely score at 13%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Axi Adunații-Copăceni v Dunărea 2020 Giurgiu~~1.21 – 1.37

~~Form · last six in Liga III - Serie 5 this season · since 11 Sept~~W2 D0 L4 · W1 D5 L0

~~Table places · points 12 v 14~~6 v 4

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · Dunărea 2020 Giurgiu win

Published at 44%, 43% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Axi Adunații-Copăceni win	35%	–	–
Draw	22%	–	–
Dunărea 2020 Giurgiu win	43%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	47%	–	–
Both teams to score	49%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	70%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	26%	–	–
Axi Adunații-Copăceni or draw	57%	–	–
Axi Adunații-Copăceni clean sheet	26%	–	–
Dunărea 2020 Giurgiu clean sheet	31%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 0–1 at 12.7%

0123450 5.9 12.7 7.1 3.3 1 11.4 10.1 8.2 3.8 2 5.5 7.3 5.0 2.3 3 2.3 3.0 2.0 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Axi Adunații-Copăceni down, Dunărea 2020 Giurgiu across0–5 goals a side shown (99.4% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 685 Liga III - Serie 5 matches up to 16 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Liga III - Serie 5 matches have gone over 2.5 in 56.2% of games this season, across 48 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 3 previous meetings since 2025/26 in every competition we cover, 1.67 goals a meeting; 0 of 3 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Axi Adunații-Copăceni at home: 1.00 scored, 1.83 conceded a game (last 6). Dunărea 2020 Giurgiu away: 1.67 scored, 1.33 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.21 goals for Axi Adunații-Copăceni, 1.37 for Dunărea 2020 Giurgiu. Most likely score 0–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

3 meetings since 2025/26

~~Goals a meeting~~1.67

~~Over 2.5~~0 of 3

~~Both scored~~0 of 3

~~Last meetings~~DUN 0–2 AXI · DUN 2–0 AXI · AXI 1–0 DUN

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Liga III - Serie 5 this season · since 11 Sept

AXI ADUNAȚII-COPĂCENI

WLLLWL1–0 · 0–2 · 0–1 · 0–2 · 2–1 · 1–2

DUNĂREA 2020 GIURGIU

DDWDDD2–2 · 2–2 · 1–0 · 1–1 · 1–1 · 2–2

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Omega Sport	8	+6	20
2	Alexandria	8	+7	17
3	LPS HD Clinceni	8	+6	14
4	Dunărea 2020 Giurgiu	8	+5	14
5	Progresul Mogosoaia	8	−1	12
6	Axi Adunații-Copăceni	8	−1	12
7	Oxigen Bucuresti	8	−3	10
8	Cetatea	8	+6	9
9	Dinamo Bucureşti II	8	−5	9
10	Voluntari II	8	−4	7
11	Progresul Spartac	8	−1	6
12	FCSB II	8	−15	4