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Model 1.2

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FC Oţelul II v Înainte Modelu

FC Oţelul II
2–1Full time
Înainte Modelu

Liga III - Serie 4 · SAT 17 OCT

Full timeGraded 18 Oct 01:51
FC Oţelul II 2–1 Înainte Modelu ÎNAINTE MODELU WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–2 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Înainte Modelu win51%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.787

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pass
Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Înainte Modelu are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: FC Oţelul II 30%, draw 20%, Înainte Modelu 51%. Over 2.5 goals 66%, both teams to score 64%.

The AI’s read on FC Oţelul II v Înainte ModeluBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

FC Oţelul II win30%
Draw20%
Înainte Modelu win51%

Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 13:00

RoundGroup 4 · matchday 9

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

FC Oţelul II

Înainte Modelu

7Days since last match8

Last match: 10 Oct · Liga III - Serie 4

Last match: 9 Oct · Liga III - Serie 4

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#TEAMPGDPTS
2Înainte Modelu8+616
11FC Oţelul II8−144

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · înainte modelu winFirst published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off
51% The market–
Us51%

We make Înainte Modelu a 51% chance to win. The model expects 1.5–2.0, and 1–2 is the single most likely score at 9%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · FC Oţelul II v Înainte Modelu1.46 – 1.99
Form · last six in Liga III - Serie 4 this season · since 11 SeptW1 D1 L4 · W4 D0 L2
Table places · points 4 v 1611 v 2

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
FC Oţelul II win30%––
Draw20%––
Înainte Modelu win51%––
Over 2.5 goals66%––
Both teams to score64%––
Over 1.5 goals84%––
Over 3.5 goals45%––
FC Oţelul II or draw49%––
FC Oţelul II clean sheet15%––
Înainte Modelu clean sheet24%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–2 at 8.7%
0123450 2.7 7.5 6.3 4.2 2.1 1 5.8 8.3 8.7 5.7 2.9 2 3.5 6.5 6.2 4.1 2.1 3 3.2 3.1 2.0 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+FC Oţelul II down, Înainte Modelu across0–5 goals a side shown (97.3% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

No meetings since 2025/26

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2025/26.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Liga III - Serie 4 this season · since 11 Sept

FC OŢELUL II

LLLLWD0–2 · 1–2 · 1–2 · 1–6 · 2–1 · 2–2

ÎNAINTE MODELU

WLWWLW1–0 · 4–5 · 4–3 · 1–0 · 0–1 · 2–0

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Agricola Borcea9+2224
2Înainte Modelu8+616
3Progresul Fundulea8+615
4Agigea9+115
5Unirea Braniştea9+213
6Axiopolis8+113
7Sporting Lieşti8+612
8Recolta Gheorghe Doja8−212
9Dunarea Calarasi9−511
10Gloria Băneasa8−87
11FC Oţelul II8−144
12Portul Constanta8−153

The competition's standings before kick-off.