Voința Crevedia v Tunari prediction · Liga III

Full timeGraded 25 Oct 01:42

Voința Crevedia 0–2 Tunari VOINȚA CREVEDIA WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTOVER 3.5 · WRONG1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Voința Crevedia win~~41%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.581

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Close to call, with Voința Crevedia just ahead.

The Pitchside prediction: Voința Crevedia 41%, draw 20%, Tunari 39%. Over 2.5 goals 74%, both teams to score 72%.

The AI’s read on Voința Crevedia v TunariBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

Voința Crevedia win41%

Draw20%

Tunari win39%

Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 13:00

RoundGroup 3 · matchday 10

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Voința Crevedia

Tunari

7Days since last match7

Last match: 17 Oct · Liga III - Serie 3

2Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
2	Tunari	9	+9	20
5	Voința Crevedia	9	+4	13

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · voința crevedia winFirst published 18 Oct 01:23 · updated 18 Oct 02:11 · locked at kick-off

41% The market–

Us41%

We make Voința Crevedia a 41% chance to win. The model expects 2.0–2.0, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 8%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Voința Crevedia v Tunari~~2.01 – 1.97

~~Form · last six in Liga III - Serie 3 this season · since 19 Sept~~W3 D1 L2 · W4 D1 L1

~~Table places · points 13 v 20~~5 v 2

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · Voința Crevedia win

Published at 43%, 41% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Voința Crevedia win	41%	–	–
Draw	20%	–	–
Tunari win	39%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	74%	–	–
Both teams to score	72%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	89%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	55%	–	–
Voința Crevedia or draw	61%	–	–
Voința Crevedia clean sheet	15%	–	–
Tunari clean sheet	15%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 7.5%

0123450 2.3 4.1 3.8 2.4 1 4.2 7.5 6.9 4.5 2.3 2 4.0 7.2 6.6 4.3 2.2 3 2.7 4.7 4.4 2.8 4 2.5 2.3 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Voința Crevedia down, Tunari across0–5 goals a side shown (95.3% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 721 Liga III - Serie 3 matches up to 23 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Liga III - Serie 3 matches have gone over 2.5 in 61.4% of games this season, across 57 played.

Head to head

No meeting between these two in any competition we cover since 2025/26.

Home and away form

Voința Crevedia at home: 1.20 scored, 1.60 conceded a game (last 5). Tunari away: 1.60 scored, 2.20 conceded (last 5).

What the model expects

2.01 goals for Voința Crevedia, 1.97 for Tunari. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

No meetings since 2025/26

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2025/26.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Liga III - Serie 3 this season · since 19 Sept

VOINȚA CREVEDIA

DWLWLW2–2 · 6–1 · 0–1 · 5–4 · 1–2 · 3–1

TUNARI

WWLWDW3–0 · 2–0 · 0–6 · 2–0 · 2–2 · 4–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Flacăra Moreni	10	+29	28
2	Tunari	9	+9	20
3	Blejoi	10	+5	17
4	Berca	9	+2	14
5	Voința Crevedia	9	+4	13
6	Progresul Draganesti	10	−7	13
7	Urban Titu	10	−5	12
8	Râmnicu Sărat	10	−9	12
9	Plopeni	9	−8	10
10	Pucioasa	9	0	9
11	Viitorul Corbeanca	10	−7	7
12	Păuleşti	9	−13	2