Urban Titu v Plopeni prediction · Liga III

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Urban TituDrawPlopeni

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 13:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Urban Titu 53%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Urban Titu are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Urban Titu 53%, draw 22%, Plopeni 25%. Over 2.5 goals 58%, both teams to score 57%.

The AI’s read on Urban Titu v PlopeniBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 24 Oct 00:02 · locked at kick-off

Urban Titu win53%

Draw22%

Plopeni win25%

Kick-offFRI 30 OCT · 13:00

RoundGroup 3 · matchday 11

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Urban Titu

Plopeni

7Days since last match13

Last match: 23 Oct · Liga III - Serie 3

Last match: 17 Oct · Liga III - Serie 3

2Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
7	Urban Titu	10	−5	12
9	Plopeni	9	−8	10

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · urban titu winFirst published 24 Oct 00:02 · locked at kick-off

53% The market–

Us53%

We make Urban Titu a 53% chance to win. The model expects 1.9–1.2, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 10%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Urban Titu v Plopeni~~1.87 – 1.19

~~Form · last six in Liga III - Serie 3 this season · since 19 Sept~~W2 D3 L1 · W1 D1 L4

~~Table places · points 12 v 10~~7 v 9

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · Urban Titu win

Our number has not moved since we published.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Urban Titu win	53%	–	–
Draw	22%	–	–
Plopeni win	25%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	58%	–	–
Both teams to score	57%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	80%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	37%	–	–
Urban Titu or draw	75%	–	–
Urban Titu clean sheet	31%	–	–
Plopeni clean sheet	17%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 10.2%

0123450 5.3 5.9 3.5 1 9.0 10.2 6.0 2.5 2 8.1 9.1 5.4 2.2 3 5.0 5.7 3.3 4 2.5 2.8 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Urban Titu down, Plopeni across0–5 goals a side shown (98.0% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 721 Liga III - Serie 3 matches up to 23 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Liga III - Serie 3 matches have gone over 2.5 in 61.4% of games this season, across 57 played.

Head to head

No meeting between these two in any competition we cover since 2024/25.

Home and away form

Urban Titu at home: 1.50 scored, 0.50 conceded a game (last 4). Plopeni away: 1.25 scored, 2.50 conceded (last 4).

What the model expects

1.87 goals for Urban Titu, 1.19 for Plopeni. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

No meetings since 2024/25

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2024/25.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Liga III - Serie 3 this season · since 19 Sept

URBAN TITU

DDDWWL0–0 · 2–2 · 1–1 · 2–1 · 2–1 · 2–3

PLOPENI

LLWDLL2–4 · 0–3 · 1–0 · 0–0 · 2–3 · 0–3

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Flacăra Moreni	10	+29	28
2	Tunari	9	+9	20
3	Blejoi	10	+5	17
4	Berca	9	+2	14
5	Voința Crevedia	9	+4	13
6	Progresul Draganesti	10	−7	13
7	Urban Titu	10	−5	12
8	Râmnicu Sărat	10	−9	12
9	Plopeni	9	−8	10
10	Pucioasa	9	0	9
11	Viitorul Corbeanca	10	−7	7
12	Păuleşti	9	−13	2