Tunari v Pucioasa prediction · Liga III - Serie 3

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

TunariDrawPucioasa

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 13:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Tunari 59%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Tunari are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Tunari 59%, draw 22%, Pucioasa 19%. Over 2.5 goals 53%, both teams to score 50%.

The AI’s read on Tunari v PucioasaBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

Tunari win59%

Draw22%

Pucioasa win19%

Kick-offSAT 31 OCT · 13:00

RoundGroup 3 · matchday 11

VenueTunari Stadium

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Tunari

Pucioasa

7Days since last match7

Last match: 24 Oct · Liga III - Serie 3

2Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
2	Tunari	9	+9	20
10	Pucioasa	9	0	9

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · tunari winFirst published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

59% The market–

Us59%

We make Tunari a 59% chance to win. The model expects 1.9–0.9, and 1–0 is the single most likely score at 11%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Tunari v Pucioasa~~1.88 – 0.94

~~Form · last six in Liga III - Serie 3 this season · since 22 Sept~~W4 D1 L1 · W3 D1 L2

~~Table places · points 20 v 9~~2 v 10

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Tunari win	59%	–	–
Draw	22%	–	–
Pucioasa win	19%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	53%	–	–
Both teams to score	50%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	76%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	31%	–	–
Tunari or draw	81%	–	–
Tunari clean sheet	40%	–	–
Pucioasa clean sheet	17%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 11.4%

0123450 6.6 6.0 2.8 1 11.4 10.2 4.9 2 10.2 9.2 4.4 3 6.4 5.7 2.7 4 3.2 2.8 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Tunari down, Pucioasa across0–5 goals a side shown (98.1% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 724 Liga III - Serie 3 matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Liga III - Serie 3 matches have gone over 2.5 in 60.0% of games this season, across 60 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 4 previous meetings since 2020/21 in every competition we cover, 3.00 goals a meeting; 2 of 4 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Tunari at home: 3.00 scored, 0.00 conceded a game (last 4). Pucioasa away: 0.75 scored, 1.25 conceded (last 4).

What the model expects

1.88 goals for Tunari, 0.94 for Pucioasa. Most likely score 1–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

4 meetings since 2020/21

~~Goals a meeting~~3.00

~~Over 2.5~~2 of 4

~~Both scored~~1 of 4

~~Last meetings~~PUC 1–4 TUN · TUN 3–0 PUC · TUN 2–0 PUC · PUC 0–2 TUN

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Liga III - Serie 3 this season · since 22 Sept

TUNARI

WLWDWW2–0 · 0–6 · 2–0 · 2–2 · 4–0 · 2–0

PUCIOASA

LWDWLW0–1 · 3–0 · 0–0 · 3–2 · 1–2 · 1–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Flacăra Moreni	10	+29	28
2	Tunari	9	+9	20
3	Blejoi	10	+5	17
4	Berca	9	+2	14
5	Voința Crevedia	9	+4	13
6	Progresul Draganesti	10	−7	13
7	Urban Titu	10	−5	12
8	Râmnicu Sărat	10	−9	12
9	Plopeni	9	−8	10
10	Pucioasa	9	0	9
11	Viitorul Corbeanca	10	−7	7
12	Păuleşti	9	−13	2