Tunari v Blejoi prediction · Liga III - Serie 3

Full timeGraded 18 Oct 01:51

Tunari 4–0 Blejoi TUNARI WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Tunari win~~47%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.432

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pass

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Tunari are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Tunari 47%, draw 22%, Blejoi 31%. Over 2.5 goals 65%, both teams to score 64%.

The AI’s read on Tunari v BlejoiBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

Tunari win47%

Draw22%

Blejoi win31%

Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 13:00

RoundGroup 3 · matchday 9

VenueTunari Stadium

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Tunari

Blejoi

8Days since last match8

Last match: 9 Oct · Liga III - Serie 3

2Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
2	Tunari	8	+5	17
3	Blejoi	8	+8	14

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · tunari winFirst published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

47% The market–

Us47%

We make Tunari a 47% chance to win. The model expects 1.9–1.5, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 9%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Tunari v Blejoi~~1.91 – 1.52

~~Form · last six in Liga III - Serie 3 this season · since 12 Sept~~W3 D2 L1 · W3 D2 L1

~~Table places · points 17 v 14~~2 v 3

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Tunari win	47%	–	–
Draw	22%	–	–
Blejoi win	31%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	65%	–	–
Both teams to score	64%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	84%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	44%	–	–
Tunari or draw	69%	–	–
Tunari clean sheet	23%	–	–
Blejoi clean sheet	16%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 9.4%

0123450 3.9 5.3 3.9 2.0 1 6.5 9.4 6.9 3.5 2 6.0 8.4 6.2 3.2 3 3.8 5.3 3.9 2.0 4 2.6 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Tunari down, Blejoi across0–5 goals a side shown (97.2% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 714 Liga III - Serie 3 matches up to 16 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Liga III - Serie 3 matches have gone over 2.5 in 58.0% of games this season, across 50 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 5 previous meetings since 2020/21 in every competition we cover, 3.60 goals a meeting; 4 of 5 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Tunari at home: 2.67 scored, 0.00 conceded a game (last 3). Blejoi away: 1.67 scored, 0.67 conceded (last 3).

What the model expects

1.91 goals for Tunari, 1.52 for Blejoi. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

5 meetings since 2020/21

~~Goals a meeting~~3.60

~~Over 2.5~~4 of 5

~~Both scored~~2 of 5

~~Last meetings~~TUN 2–1 BLE · BLE 0–1 TUN · TUN 5–0 BLE · TUN 4–1 BLE

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Liga III - Serie 3 this season · since 12 Sept

TUNARI

DWWLWD2–2 · 3–0 · 2–0 · 0–6 · 2–0 · 2–2

BLEJOI

DLWWDW1–1 · 0–2 · 3–0 · 6–1 · 1–1 · 1–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Flacăra Moreni	8	+20	22
2	Tunari	8	+5	17
3	Blejoi	8	+8	14
4	Berca	8	+2	13
5	Progresul Draganesti	9	−1	13
6	Urban Titu	9	−4	12
7	Voința Crevedia	8	+2	10
8	Plopeni	8	−5	10
9	Pucioasa	9	0	9
10	Râmnicu Sărat	8	−10	8
11	Viitorul Corbeanca	9	−6	7
12	Păuleşti	8	−11	2