Râmnicu Sărat v Urban Titu prediction · Liga III

Full timeGraded 24 Oct 01:30

Râmnicu Sărat 3–2 Urban Titu RÂMNICU SĂRAT WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Râmnicu Sărat win~~40%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.561

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Close to call, with Râmnicu Sărat just ahead.

The Pitchside prediction: Râmnicu Sărat 40%, draw 22%, Urban Titu 39%. Over 2.5 goals 69%, both teams to score 68%.

The AI’s read on Râmnicu Sărat v Urban TituBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 17 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

Râmnicu Sărat win40%

Draw22%

Urban Titu win39%

Kick-offFRI 23 OCT · 13:00

RoundGroup 3 · matchday 10

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Râmnicu Sărat

Urban Titu

6Days since last match7

Last match: 17 Oct · Liga III - Serie 3

Last match: 16 Oct · Liga III - Serie 3

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
7	Urban Titu	9	−4	12
10	Râmnicu Sărat	9	−10	9

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · râmnicu sărat winFirst published 17 Oct 00:01 · updated 18 Oct 02:11 · locked at kick-off

40% The market–

Us40%

We make Râmnicu Sărat a 40% chance to win. The model expects 1.8–1.8, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 9%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Râmnicu Sărat v Urban Titu~~1.82 – 1.80

~~Form · last six in Liga III - Serie 3 this season · since 18 Sept~~W2 D1 L3 · W2 D3 L1

~~Table places · points 9 v 12~~10 v 7

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · Râmnicu Sărat win

Published at 38%, 40% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Râmnicu Sărat win	40%	–	–
Draw	22%	–	–
Urban Titu win	39%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	69%	–	–
Both teams to score	68%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	86%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	48%	–	–
Râmnicu Sărat or draw	61%	–	–
Râmnicu Sărat clean sheet	18%	–	–
Urban Titu clean sheet	18%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 8.8%

0123450 3.2 5.1 4.5 2.7 1 5.2 8.8 7.5 4.5 2.1 2 4.6 7.6 6.5 3.9 3 2.8 4.6 4.0 2.4 4 2.2 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Râmnicu Sărat down, Urban Titu across0–5 goals a side shown (96.9% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 718 Liga III - Serie 3 matches up to 17 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Liga III - Serie 3 matches have gone over 2.5 in 61.1% of games this season, across 54 played.

Head to head

No meeting between these two in any competition we cover since 2024/25.

Home and away form

Râmnicu Sărat at home: 1.40 scored, 3.20 conceded a game (last 5). Urban Titu away: 1.20 scored, 2.80 conceded (last 5).

What the model expects

1.82 goals for Râmnicu Sărat, 1.80 for Urban Titu. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

No meetings since 2024/25

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2024/25.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Liga III - Serie 3 this season · since 18 Sept

RÂMNICU SĂRAT

WLLLWD2–0 · 1–6 · 0–3 · 1–5 · 3–2 · 4–4

URBAN TITU

LDDDWW0–3 · 0–0 · 2–2 · 1–1 · 2–1 · 2–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Flacăra Moreni	9	+23	25
2	Tunari	9	+9	20
3	Blejoi	9	+4	14
4	Berca	9	+2	14
5	Voința Crevedia	9	+4	13
6	Progresul Draganesti	9	−1	13
7	Urban Titu	9	−4	12
8	Plopeni	9	−8	10
9	Pucioasa	9	0	9
10	Râmnicu Sărat	9	−10	9
11	Viitorul Corbeanca	9	−6	7
12	Păuleşti	9	−13	2