Pitchside Lab
Model 1.1
Back

Home › Football › Liga III - Serie 3 › Râmnicu Sărat v Plopeni

Romania flag

Râmnicu Sărat v Plopeni

Râmnicu Sărat
3–2Full time
Plopeni

Liga III - Serie 3 · FRI 9 OCT

Full timeGraded 10 Oct 01:30
Râmnicu Sărat 3–2 Plopeni PLOPENI WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Plopeni win38%
The market said54%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.590
The market’s Brier score0.943

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

Râmnicu Sărat win38%
Draw24%
Plopeni win38%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

FRI 9 OCT · 13:00

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · plopeni winPublished 9 Oct 23:31
38% The market54%
Us38%
Market54%

We make Plopeni a 38% chance to win. The market has them at 54%. We are 16 points less confident than the market. The model expects 1.5–1.5.

How the number movedSince we published
35%40%45%50%55%60% 9 OCT 06:209 OCT 10:09
Our probability · plopeni win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. The market has gone from 53% to 54% in the same time.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Râmnicu Sărat win38%23%+15
Draw24%23%+1
Plopeni win38%54%−16
Over 2.5 goals56%59%−3
Both teams to score58%58%−1
Over 1.5 goals78%80%−2
Over 3.5 goals34%38%−4
Râmnicu Sărat or draw62%46%+16
Râmnicu Sărat clean sheet24%––
Plopeni clean sheet24%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 6 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 10.9%
0123450 5.9 7.9 5.7 2.9 1 7.9 10.9 7.8 4.0 2 5.7 7.8 5.6 2.8 3 2.9 4.0 2.9 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Râmnicu Sărat down, Plopeni across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

0 meetings since 2020

No previous meeting of these two in our records. We say so rather than invent one.

Form · last six in Liga III - Serie 3

RÂMNICU SĂRAT

DDWLLL0–0 · 1–1 · 2–0 · 1–6 · 0–3 · 1–5

PLOPENI

LWLLWD0–3 · 2–0 · 2–4 · 0–3 · 1–0 · 0–0

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Flacăra Moreni7+1919
2Tunari7+516
3Berca7+313
4Blejoi7+711
5Progresul Draganesti7−111
6Voința Crevedia7+310
7Plopeni7−410
8Pucioasa706
9Viitorul Corbeanca7−56
10Urban Titu7−66
11Râmnicu Sărat7−115
12Păuleşti7−102

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Last updated 2026-10-09 17:34 UTC.