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Progresul Draganesti v Tunari

Progresul Draganesti

2–2Full time

Tunari

Liga III - Serie 3 · FRI 9 OCT

Full timeGraded 10 Oct 01:30

Progresul Draganesti 2–2 Tunari TUNARI WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Tunari win~~39%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.912

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

Progresul Draganesti win39%

Draw22%

Tunari win39%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

FRI 9 OCT · 13:00

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · tunari winPublished 9 Oct 23:31

39% The market–

Us39%

We make Tunari a 39% chance to win. The model expects 1.7–1.7, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 9%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Progresul Draganesti win	39%	–	–
Draw	22%	–	–
Tunari win	39%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	66%	–	–
Both teams to score	65%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	85%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	45%	–	–
Progresul Draganesti or draw	61%	–	–
Progresul Draganesti clean sheet	19%	–	–
Tunari clean sheet	19%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 9.3%

0123450 3.8 5.8 4.9 2.8 1 5.8 9.3 7.7 4.4 2.0 2 4.8 7.6 6.3 3.6 3 2.8 4.4 3.6 2.1 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Progresul Draganesti down, Tunari across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 706 Liga III - Serie 3 matches up to 9 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Liga III - Serie 3 matches have gone over 2.5 in 54.8% of games this season, across 42 played.

Head to head

No previous meeting in our records, so this step adds nothing.

Home and away form

Progresul Draganesti at home: 2.33 scored, 1.33 conceded a game (last 3). Tunari away: 1.50 scored, 2.25 conceded (last 4).

What the model expects

1.72 goals for Progresul Draganesti, 1.75 for Tunari. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

0 meetings since 2020

No previous meeting of these two in our records. We say so rather than invent one.

Form · last six in Liga III - Serie 3

PROGRESUL DRAGANESTI

WDWLDW1–0 · 1–1 · 4–2 · 0–3 · 2–2 · 3–2

TUNARI

WDWWLW3–0 · 2–2 · 3–0 · 2–0 · 0–6 · 2–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Flacăra Moreni	7	+19	19
2	Tunari	7	+5	16
3	Berca	7	+3	13
4	Blejoi	7	+7	11
5	Progresul Draganesti	7	−1	11
6	Voința Crevedia	7	+3	10
7	Plopeni	7	−4	10
8	Pucioasa	7	0	6
9	Viitorul Corbeanca	7	−5	6
10	Urban Titu	7	−6	6
11	Râmnicu Sărat	7	−11	5
12	Păuleşti	7	−10	2