Progresul Draganesti v Blejoi prediction · Liga III

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Progresul DraganestiDrawBlejoi

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 13:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Blejoi 40%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Close to call, with Blejoi just ahead.

The Pitchside prediction: Progresul Draganesti 37%, draw 22%, Blejoi 40%. Over 2.5 goals 65%, both teams to score 65%.

The AI’s read on Progresul Draganesti v BlejoiBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

Progresul Draganesti win37%

Draw22%

Blejoi win40%

Kick-offSAT 31 OCT · 13:00

RoundGroup 3 · matchday 11

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Progresul Draganesti

Blejoi

8Days since last match8

Last match: 23 Oct · Liga III - Serie 3

1Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
3	Blejoi	10	+5	17
6	Progresul Draganesti	10	−7	13

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · blejoi winFirst published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

40% The market–

Us40%

We make Blejoi a 40% chance to win. The model expects 1.7–1.8, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 9%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Progresul Draganesti v Blejoi~~1.68 – 1.75

~~Form · last six in Liga III - Serie 3 this season · since 22 Sept~~W1 D3 L2 · W4 D1 L1

~~Table places · points 13 v 17~~6 v 3

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Progresul Draganesti win	37%	–	–
Draw	22%	–	–
Blejoi win	40%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	65%	–	–
Both teams to score	65%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	84%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	44%	–	–
Progresul Draganesti or draw	60%	–	–
Progresul Draganesti clean sheet	19%	–	–
Blejoi clean sheet	20%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 9.4%

0123450 3.7 6.1 5.1 3.0 1 5.8 9.4 7.9 4.6 2.1 2 4.7 7.6 6.4 3.7 3 2.6 4.2 3.6 2.1 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Progresul Draganesti down, Blejoi across0–5 goals a side shown (97.5% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 724 Liga III - Serie 3 matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Liga III - Serie 3 matches have gone over 2.5 in 60.0% of games this season, across 60 played.

Head to head

No meeting between these two in any competition we cover since 2026/27.

Home and away form

Progresul Draganesti at home: 2.25 scored, 1.50 conceded a game (last 4). Blejoi away: 1.25 scored, 1.50 conceded (last 4).

What the model expects

1.68 goals for Progresul Draganesti, 1.75 for Blejoi. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

No meetings since 2026/27

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2026/27.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Liga III - Serie 3 this season · since 22 Sept

PROGRESUL DRAGANESTI

LDWDDL0–3 · 2–2 · 3–2 · 2–2 · 1–1 · 0–6

BLEJOI

WWDWLW3–0 · 6–1 · 1–1 · 1–0 · 0–4 · 1–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Flacăra Moreni	10	+29	28
2	Tunari	9	+9	20
3	Blejoi	10	+5	17
4	Berca	9	+2	14
5	Voința Crevedia	9	+4	13
6	Progresul Draganesti	10	−7	13
7	Urban Titu	10	−5	12
8	Râmnicu Sărat	10	−9	12
9	Plopeni	9	−8	10
10	Pucioasa	9	0	9
11	Viitorul Corbeanca	10	−7	7
12	Păuleşti	9	−13	2