Blejoi v Viitorul Corbeanca prediction · Liga III

Full timeGraded 24 Oct 01:30

Blejoi 1–0 Viitorul Corbeanca BLEJOI WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · WRONGUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–0 EXACTLY · RIGHT

~~We said Blejoi win~~55%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.309

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Blejoi are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Blejoi 55%, draw 24%, Viitorul Corbeanca 22%. Over 2.5 goals 50%, both teams to score 50%.

The AI’s read on Blejoi v Viitorul CorbeancaBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 17 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

Blejoi win55%

Draw24%

Viitorul Corbeanca win22%

Kick-offFRI 23 OCT · 13:00

RoundGroup 3 · matchday 10

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Blejoi

Viitorul Corbeanca

6Days since last match7

Last match: 17 Oct · Liga III - Serie 3

Last match: 16 Oct · Liga III - Serie 3

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
3	Blejoi	9	+4	14
11	Viitorul Corbeanca	9	−6	7

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · blejoi winFirst published 17 Oct 00:01 · updated 18 Oct 02:11 · locked at kick-off

55% The market–

Us55%

We make Blejoi a 55% chance to win. The model expects 1.7–1.0, and 1–0 is the single most likely score at 12%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Blejoi v Viitorul Corbeanca~~1.73 – 0.97

~~Form · last six in Liga III - Serie 3 this season · since 18 Sept~~W3 D1 L2 · W0 D3 L3

~~Table places · points 14 v 7~~3 v 11

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · Blejoi win

Published at 59%, 55% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Blejoi win	55%	–	–
Draw	24%	–	–
Viitorul Corbeanca win	22%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	50%	–	–
Both teams to score	50%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	74%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	29%	–	–
Blejoi or draw	78%	–	–
Blejoi clean sheet	39%	–	–
Viitorul Corbeanca clean sheet	19%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 11.7%

0123450 7.4 6.7 3.3 1 11.7 10.9 5.3 2 9.8 9.1 4.4 3 5.7 5.3 2.6 4 2.6 2.4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Blejoi down, Viitorul Corbeanca across0–5 goals a side shown (98.6% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 718 Liga III - Serie 3 matches up to 17 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Liga III - Serie 3 matches have gone over 2.5 in 61.1% of games this season, across 54 played.

Head to head

No meeting between these two in any competition we cover since 2026/27.

Home and away form

Blejoi at home: 2.40 scored, 1.40 conceded a game (last 5). Viitorul Corbeanca away: 0.60 scored, 1.40 conceded (last 5).

What the model expects

1.73 goals for Blejoi, 0.97 for Viitorul Corbeanca. Most likely score 1–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

No meetings since 2026/27

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2026/27.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Liga III - Serie 3 this season · since 18 Sept

BLEJOI

LWWDWL0–2 · 3–0 · 6–1 · 1–1 · 1–0 · 0–4

VIITORUL CORBEANCA

LDDLLD0–2 · 0–0 · 1–1 · 0–2 · 2–3 · 1–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Flacăra Moreni	9	+23	25
2	Tunari	9	+9	20
3	Blejoi	9	+4	14
4	Berca	9	+2	14
5	Voința Crevedia	9	+4	13
6	Progresul Draganesti	9	−1	13
7	Urban Titu	9	−4	12
8	Plopeni	9	−8	10
9	Pucioasa	9	0	9
10	Râmnicu Sărat	9	−10	9
11	Viitorul Corbeanca	9	−6	7
12	Păuleşti	9	−13	2